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Spal vs Parma

Full Time

Serie A · Season 2019

Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara5 October 2019 at 14:00
Home

Spal

10
Away

Parma

Referee: M. Guida

Match Events

Spal
Parma
Kick Off
Andrea Petagna

assist: Gabriel Strefezza

31′
Andrea Petagna45′
45′Hernani
Half Time
46′
Dejan KulusevskiMatteo Scozzarella
57′
HernaniMattia Sprocati
70′
Antonino BarillàRoberto Inglese
Sergio FloccariJacopo Sala
73′
82′Riccardo Gagliolo
Mirko ValdifioriMattia Valoti
84′
Andrea PetagnaAlberto Paloschi
86′
Jacopo Sala90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots8
3Blocked Shots4
10Shots insidebox2
6Shots outsidebox6
10Fouls13
5Corner Kicks8
1Offsides4
47%Ball Possession53%
5Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves6
334Total passes370
262Passes accurate284
78%Passes %77%

Match Summary

Spal defeated Parma 1:0. The match was played in Serie A 2019. Goals were scored by Andrea Petagna 31′. 7 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Spal had 47% possession while Parma held 53%. Spal had 16 shots (7 on target) compared to 8 (1 on target) for Parma. Spal made 3 substitutions, Parma made 3.

Rivalry since 2018

Spal vs Parma Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
Spal
4
wins
Drawn
1
Parma
2
wins
Total goals
17 · 2.4/match
Both scored
2/7 · 29%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

Recent Form

Spal

WLWDDD

Parma

LWWDDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Spal dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Spal4wins
0draws4 meetings
Parma0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Spal.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.2%Draw 30.7%Away 32.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.373.203.00
Max2.523.303.10
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.5%29.7%31.7%
Public market40.3%28.9%30.8%
Δ1.7%0.8%1.0%

Spal vs Parma — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Spal
Result vs. Market: Spal (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SpalHalf-time:10Parma
12Shots5
7Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
08/03/20Parma0–1Spal2.04/3.38/3.81
05/10/19Spal1–0Parma2.43/3.26/3.05
27/01/19Parma2–3Spal2.46/3.02/3.27
26/08/18Spal1–0Parma2.07/3.27/3.87

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Spal

W 24D 28L 62
Over 2.551
Goals scored110

Away Record: Parma

W 331D 271L 339
Over 2.549
Goals scored1211

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026