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Cagliari vs Parma

Full Time

Serie A · Season 2020

Sardegna Arena, Cagliari17 April 2021 at 19:45
43
Away

Parma

Referee: P. Valeri

Match Events

Cagliari
Parma
Kick Off
5′
G. Pezzella
24′Giuseppe Pezzella
Goal cancelled26′
VAR
Răzvan Marin29′
31′
J. Kucka

assist: A. Cornelius

L. Pavoletti

assist: A. Carboni

39′
Half Time
Alfred Duncan46′
46′
J. KuckaV. Mihăilă
G. ZappaC. Lykogiannis
58′
59′
D. Man
60′
V. LauriniM. Busi
A. DuncanG. Simeone
64′
D. RuganiG. Pereiro
64′
R. Marin

assist: G. Pereiro

66′
72′
A. CorneliusG. Pellè
72′
D. ManL. Valenti
78′
G. PezzellaD. Dierckx
Nahitan Nández80′
Radja Nainggolan83′
N. NándezA. Cerri
87′
G. Pereiro

assist: R. Marin

90+1′
A. Cerri

assist: G. Pereiro

90+4′
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal3
20Total Shots11
6Blocked Shots3
10Shots insidebox8
10Shots outsidebox3
14Fouls12
0Corner Kicks4
1Offsides2
64%Ball Possession36%
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
536Total passes305
452Passes accurate225
84%Passes %74%

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Parma 4:3. The match was played in Serie A 2020. Goals were scored by G. Pezzella 5′, J. Kucka 31′, L. Pavoletti 39′, D. Man 59′, R. Marin 66′, G. Pereiro 90′, A. Cerri 90′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Cagliari had 64% possession while Parma held 36%. Cagliari had 20 shots (5 on target) compared to 11 (5 on target) for Parma. Cagliari made 4 substitutions, Parma made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Gabriele Zappa 26′).

Rivalry since 2011

Cagliari vs Parma Head to Head Results

23 stretnutí
Cagliari
9
wins
Drawn
9
Parma
5
wins
Total goals
54 · 2.3/match
Both scored
12/23 · 52%
Over 2.5
11/23 · 48%

Recent Form

Cagliari

DWLWLL

Parma

LWWDDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Cagliari dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cagliari6wins
3draws10 meetings
Parma1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Cagliari.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.8%Draw 28.5%Away 31.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.403.10
Max2.303.603.30
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite:Cagliari · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.5%27.6%29.8%
Public market43.1%26.3%30.6%
Δ0.6%1.3%0.8%

Cagliari vs Parma — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Cagliari (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CagliariHalf-time:12Parma
23Shots11
9Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/02/26Parma1–1Cagliari2.25/3.00/3.70
13/09/25Cagliari2–0Parma2.17/3.22/3.65
09/02/25Cagliari2–1Parma1.86/3.68/4.03
30/09/24Parma2–3Cagliari2.11/3.61/3.42
17/04/21Cagliari4–3Parma2.23/3.51/3.23
16/12/20Parma0–0Cagliari2.36/3.38/3.11
01/02/20Cagliari2–2Parma1.87/3.78/3.98
15/09/19Parma1–3Cagliari2.27/3.27/3.31
16/02/19Cagliari2–1Parma2.01/3.41/3.97
22/09/18Parma2–0Cagliari2.39/3.23/3.16

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cagliari

W 259D 273L 429
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Away Record: Parma

W 331D 271L 339
Over 2.549
Goals scored1211

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026