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Inter vs Monza

Full Time

Serie A · Season 2024

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano8 March 2025 at 19:45
Home

Inter

32
Away

Monza

Referee: L. Zufferli

Match Events

Inter
Monza
Kick Off
Goal cancelled25′
VAR
32′
S. Birindelli

assist: Dany Mota

38′Armando Izzo
44′
K. Baldé

assist: Dany Mota

M. Arnautović

assist: D. Dumfries

45+1′
Half Time
B. PavardY. Bisseck
46′
S. de VrijCarlos Augusto
46′
H. Çalhanoğlu

assist: Y. Bisseck

64′
66′
Dany MotaS. Ganvoula
67′
G. CastrovilliS. Leković
H. MkhitaryanP. Zieliński
70′
M. ArnautovićM. Thuram
70′
P. ZielińskiJ. Correa
73′
76′
K. BaldéG. Caprari
G. Kyriakopoulos

Own Goal

77′
86′
S. BirindelliS. Vignato
87′
A. IzzoA. Brorsson
Full Time

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal2
30Total Shots8
9Blocked Shots2
22Shots insidebox3
8Shots outsidebox5
8Fouls7
13Corner Kicks1
1Offsides0
69%Ball Possession31%
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves7
632Total passes293
575Passes accurate242
91%Passes %83%
2.61expected_goals0.65
0goals_prevented0

Match Summary

Inter defeated Monza 3:2. The match was played in Serie A 2024. Goals were scored by S. Birindelli 32′, K. Baldé 44′, M. Arnautović 45′, H. Çalhanoğlu 64′, G. Kyriakopoulos 77′ (o.g.). 1 yellow cards were shown. Inter had 69% possession while Monza held 31%. Inter had 30 shots (9 on target) compared to 8 (4 on target) for Monza. Expected goals: Inter 2.61 — Monza 0.65. Inter made 5 substitutions, Monza made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Lautaro Martínez 25′).

Rivalry since 2023

Inter vs Monza Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Inter
2
wins
Drawn
2
Monza
1
wins
Total goals
15 · 3.0/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Form

Inter

WDWWWW

Monza

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Inter3wins
2draws6 meetings
Monza1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (85%) — the odds may underestimate Monza.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 87.7%Draw 12.2%Away 5.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.137.0017.00
Max1.159.6121.00
Over 2.5: 66.7%Under 2.5: 38.0%
Market favourite:Inter · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market84.9%10.0%5.1%
Public market82.2%13.4%4.5%
Δ2.7%3.4%0.7%

Inter vs Monza — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Inter
Result vs. Market: Inter (88%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

InterHalf-time:12Monza
30Shots8
9Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
08/03/25Inter3–2Monza1.14/8.20/18.89
15/09/24Monza1–1Inter7.69/4.77/1.42
13/01/24Monza1–5Inter6.69/4.30/1.48
19/08/23Inter2–0Monza1.36/4.87/7.59
15/04/23Inter0–1Monza1.44/4.52/7.90
07/01/23Monza2–2Inter5.67/4.34/1.57

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Inter

W 664D 287L 256
Over 2.554
Goals scored2148

Away Record: Monza

W 28D 31L 55
Over 2.545
Goals scored115

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026