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Atalanta vs Lecce

Full Time

Serie A · Season 2024

Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo27 April 2025 at 19:45
11
Away

Lecce

Referee: F. La Penna

Match Events

Atalanta
Lecce
Kick Off
VAR
28′Penalty confirmed
29′
J. Karlsson

Penalty

Half Time
R. BellanovaJ. Cuadrado
46′
49′Antonino Gallo
O. KossounouM. Ruggeri
59′
M. PašalićC. De Ketelaere
64′
M. Retegui

Penalty

69′
70′
J. KarlssonÞ. Helgason
76′
S. PierottiDanilo Veiga
Davide Zappacosta78′
ÉdersonL. Samardžić
80′
M. ReteguiD. Maldini
80′
84′
A. RebićR. Burnete
85′
B. PierretY. Ramadani
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal4
21Total Shots10
3Blocked Shots3
15Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox3
10Fouls8
12Corner Kicks3
3Offsides0
74%Ball Possession26%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
660Total passes238
564Passes accurate152
85%Passes %64%
2.16expected_goals1.53
0goals_prevented0

Match Summary

Atalanta and Lecce drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie A 2024. Goals were scored by J. Karlsson 29′ (pen.), M. Retegui 69′ (pen.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Atalanta had 74% possession while Lecce held 26%. Atalanta had 21 shots (6 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Lecce. Expected goals: Atalanta 2.16 — Lecce 1.53. Atalanta made 5 substitutions, Lecce made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Federico Baschirotto 28′).

Rivalry since 2011

Atalanta vs Lecce Head to Head Results

11 stretnutí
Atalanta
8
wins
Drawn
1
Lecce
2
wins
Total goals
37 · 3.4/match
Both scored
6/11 · 55%
Over 2.5
8/11 · 73%

Recent Form

Atalanta

DLDDLW

Lecce

WDDLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Atalanta dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Atalanta7wins
1draws10 meetings
Lecce2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.6

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (78%) — the odds may underestimate Lecce.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 80.6%Draw 15.8%Away 8.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.236.0011.00
Max1.256.6312.53
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.0%
Market favourite:Atalanta · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market77.9%14.5%7.6%
Public market75.6%15.8%8.6%
Δ2.3%1.3%0.9%

Atalanta vs Lecce — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Atalanta (81%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AtalantaHalf-time:01Lecce
21Shots10
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
06/04/26Lecce0–3Atalanta5.00/3.75/1.75
14/09/25Atalanta4–1Lecce1.40/4.79/8.00
27/04/25Atalanta1–1Lecce1.24/6.31/11.77
19/08/24Lecce0–4Atalanta4.28/3.67/1.86
18/05/24Lecce0–2Atalanta4.53/3.81/1.75
30/12/23Atalanta1–0Lecce1.41/4.54/7.81
19/02/23Atalanta1–2Lecce1.51/4.23/6.76
09/11/22Lecce2–1Atalanta4.79/3.54/1.81
01/03/20Lecce2–7Atalanta8.01/5.38/1.35
06/10/19Atalanta3–1Lecce1.26/6.10/10.22

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Atalanta

W 370D 277L 348
Over 2.550
Goals scored1394

Away Record: Lecce

W 126D 163L 292
Over 2.551
Goals scored599

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026