Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Cittadella.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.25 | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| Max | 2.41 | 3.09 | 3.80 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 40.5% | 31.6% | 28.0% |
| Public market | 41.7% | 33.5% | 24.7% |
| Δ | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% |
Cittadella vs Carpi — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/1918/19 | Cittadella | 3–1 | Carpi | 1.62/3.49/6.38 |
| 01/09/1818/19 | Carpi | 0–1 | Cittadella | 2.77/3.01/2.76 |
| 21/12/1717/18 | Cittadella | 0–1 | Carpi | 1.70/3.54/5.65 |
| 12/05/1817/18 | Carpi | 1–1 | Cittadella | 3.48/3.02/2.27 |
| 26/11/1616/17 | Carpi | 2–0 | Cittadella | 2.01/3.16/4.19 |
| 22/04/1716/17 | Cittadella | 4–1 | Carpi | 2.32/2.96/3.50 |
| 15/11/1414/15 | Carpi | 5–2 | Cittadella | 1.76/3.36/5.11 |
| 11/04/1514/15 | Cittadella | 0–1 | Carpi | 3.17/2.89/2.52 |
| 05/10/1313/14 | Carpi | 0–1 | Cittadella | 2.22/3.23/3.32 |
| 15/03/1413/14 | Cittadella | 1–0 | Carpi | 3.07/3.05/2.46 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Cittadella
Away Record: Carpi
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Carpi defeated Cittadella 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2016. Goals were scored by L. Lollo 33′, J. Mbakogu 65′, A. Iunco 67′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Cittadella had 59% possession while Carpi held 41%. Cittadella had 9 shots (6 on target) compared to 10 (8 on target) for Carpi. Cittadella made 3 substitutions, Carpi made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Cittadella and Carpi — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: R. Gagliolo
assist: L. Valzania
Match Statistics
Cittadella had 59% possession against Carpi's 41%. Cittadella registered 9 shots (6 on target) while Carpi managed 10 (8 on target). Corner kicks: 4–5. Fouls committed: 18–18.
Lineups
Cittadella lined up in a 4-3-1-2 formation under R. Venturato, while Carpi deployed a 4-4-2 under F. Castori.
Defensive Solidity
Cittadella deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Carpi's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Cittadella field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Carpi's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Cittadella start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Carpi averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: R. Venturato
Substitutes
Coach: F. Castori
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Cittadella have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Carpi show 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 0 outings.
Cittadella
Carpi
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Cittadella vs Carpi Head to Head Results
Cittadella and Carpi have met 6 times — Cittadella won 3, Carpi won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Cittadella leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (9 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Cittadella are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2017.
3
Cittadella
1
Drawn
2
Carpi
Recent Meetings (6)
API data: 25 Apr 2026