Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.5
Average goals per game
17%
Games with 3+ goals
17%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (58%) — the odds may underestimate Carpi.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| Max | 1.67 | 3.75 | 6.44 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 58.4% | 26.5% | 15.1% |
| Public market | 58.1% | 25.3% | 16.6% |
| Δ | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% |
Carpi vs Novara — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Carpi
Away Record: Novara
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Carpi defeated Novara 2:0. The match was played in Serie B 2016. Goals were scored by F. Concas 8′, J. Mbakogu 36′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Carpi had 45% possession while Novara held 55%. Carpi had 4 shots (4 on target) compared to 12 (5 on target) for Novara. Carpi made 3 substitutions, Novara made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Carpi and Novara — 2 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: G. Letizia
assist: K. Lasagna
Match Statistics
Carpi had 45% possession against Novara's 55%. Carpi registered 4 shots (4 on target) while Novara managed 12 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 5–6. Fouls committed: 15–14.
Lineups
Carpi lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under F. Castori, while Novara deployed a 3-5-2 under R. Boscaglia.
Defensive Solidity
Carpi deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Novara's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Carpi field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Novara's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Carpi start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Novara averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: F. Castori
Substitutes
Coach: R. Boscaglia
Recent Form
In their last 0 matches, Carpi have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Novara show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Carpi
—
Novara
API data: 25 Apr 2026