30 September 2016 at 18:30

11
Full Time
Referee: Fabrizio Pasqua

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Bari dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Brescia1wins
3draws10 meetings
Bari6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Bari.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.3%Draw 31.9%Away 34.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.102.80
Max2.693.193.00
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.3%30.6%33.1%
Public market38.4%30.3%31.3%
Δ2.1%0.3%1.8%

Brescia vs Bari — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Brescia (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BresciaHalf-time:00Bari

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/01/25Bari2–2Brescia2.06/3.15/3.86
30/11/24Brescia1–1Bari2.71/3.13/2.68
10/05/24Bari2–0Brescia1.54/4.17/5.87
29/10/23Brescia1–2Bari2.87/3.08/2.66
25/02/23Brescia0–2Bari3.21/3.13/2.42
01/10/22Bari6–2Brescia2.31/3.25/3.24
23/10/17Brescia2–1Bari2.76/3.06/2.75
24/03/18Bari3–0Brescia1.78/3.31/5.16
30/09/16Brescia1–1Bari2.55/3.13/2.92
27/02/17Bari2–0Brescia1.57/3.89/6.29

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Brescia

W 296D 270L 240
Over 2.545
Goals scored1044

Away Record: Bari

W 264D 265L 245
Over 2.541
Goals scored894

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Brescia and Bari drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie B 2016. Goals were scored by A. Caracciolo 53′, F. Brienza 62′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Brescia had 54% possession while Bari held 46%. Brescia had 9 shots (3 on target) compared to 10 (4 on target) for Bari. Brescia made 3 substitutions, Bari made 2.

Match Events

Key match events between Brescia and Bari — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Brescia
Bari
Kick Off
Racine Coly2′
Joel Untersee13′
22′Matteo Fedele
Giampiero Pinzi28′
Half Time
E. NdojG. Camara
59′
62′
F. Brienza
66′
Raphael MartinhoK. Boateng
A. CaraccioloE. Torregrossa
78′
82′
F. FedatoG. Castrovilli
84′Denis Tonucci
L. MorosiniS. Rosso
87′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Brescia had 54% possession against Bari's 46%. Brescia registered 9 shots (3 on target) while Bari managed 10 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–6. Fouls committed: 5–18.

3Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal6
9Total Shots10
0Blocked Shots0
0Shots insidebox0
0Shots outsidebox0
5Fouls18
3Corner Kicks6
2Offsides2
54%Ball Possession46%
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Brescia lined up in a 4-3-1-2 formation under C. Brocchi, while Bari deployed a 4-4-2 under R. Stellone.

Defensive Solidity

Brescia deploy 2 defenders rated — on average, against Bari's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Brescia field 6 midfielders averaging —, versus Bari's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Brescia start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Bari averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Brescia4-3-1-24-4-2Bari
GKDEFMIDFWD
15Minelli2Untersee24Bubnjić5Somma4Coly3Pinzi25Bisoli20Ndoj23Morosini9Caracci.21Bonazzo.22Ichazo6Cassani5Tonucci23Sabelli30Caprado.29Valiani16Martinho14Fedele20Brienza10Luca11Fedato

Substitutes

Coach: C. Brocchi

Substitutes

Coach: R. Stellone

BresciaPosition StrengthBari
Brescia4-3-1-2
15GoalkeeperS. Minelli
2DefenderJ. Untersee
5DefenderM. Somma
24MidfielderI. Bubnjić
4MidfielderR. Coly
3MidfielderG. Pinzi
25MidfielderD. Bisoli
20MidfielderE. Ndoj
23MidfielderL. Morosini
9ForwardA. Caracciolo
21ForwardF. Bonazzoli
Bari4-4-2
22GoalkeeperS. Ichazo
6DefenderM. Cassani
5DefenderD. Tonucci
23DefenderS. Sabelli
30DefenderE. Capradossi
29MidfielderF. Valiani
16MidfielderRaphael Martinho
14MidfielderM. Fedele
20ForwardF. Brienza
10ForwardG. De Luca
11ForwardF. Fedato

Recent Form

In their last 1 matches, Brescia have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats. Bari show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Brescia

D

Bari

LLWLLW
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026