Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Virtus Entella dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.2
Average goals per game
33%
Games with 3+ goals
33%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Novara.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Max | 2.02 | 3.43 | 4.10 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 48.0% | 28.3% | 23.7% |
| Public market | 46.9% | 26.9% | 26.1% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% |
Novara vs Virtus Entella — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/1717/18 | Virtus Entella | 2–1 | Novara | 2.35/3.18/3.15 |
| 18/05/1817/18 | Novara | 0–1 | Virtus Entella | 1.97/3.38/3.78 |
| 24/12/1616/17 | Virtus Entella | 4–1 | Novara | 2.35/3.12/3.18 |
| 13/05/1716/17 | Novara | 2–0 | Virtus Entella | 1.78/3.46/4.73 |
| 19/09/1515/16 | Novara | 1–0 | Virtus Entella | 1.94/3.10/4.49 |
| 31/01/1615/16 | Virtus Entella | 1–0 | Novara | 2.84/2.90/2.77 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Novara
Away Record: Virtus Entella
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Virtus Entella defeated Novara 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2017. Goals were scored by M. Crimi 68′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Novara had 51% possession while Virtus Entella held 49%. Novara had 7 shots (1 on target) compared to 3 (2 on target) for Virtus Entella. Novara made 3 substitutions, Virtus Entella made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Novara and Virtus Entella — 1 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Aramu
Match Statistics
Novara had 51% possession against Virtus Entella's 49%. Novara registered 7 shots (1 on target) while Virtus Entella managed 3 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 18–21.
Lineups
Novara lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under D. Di Carlo, while Virtus Entella deployed a 4-3-3 under G. Volpe.
Defensive Solidity
Novara deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Virtus Entella's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Novara field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Virtus Entella's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Novara start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Virtus Entella averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: D. Di Carlo
Substitutes
Coach: G. Volpe
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Novara have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Virtus Entella show 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Novara
Virtus Entella
Novara vs Virtus Entella Head to Head Results
Novara and Virtus Entella have met 6 times — Novara won 1, Virtus Entella won 4, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Virtus Entella leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (6 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Virtus Entella are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2016.
1
Novara
1
Drawn
4
Virtus Entella
Recent Meetings (6)
API data: 25 Apr 2026