Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.5
Average goals per game
20%
Games with 3+ goals
20%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (65%) — the odds may underestimate Spezia.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.44 | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Max | 1.49 | 4.29 | 8.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 65.1% | 22.6% | 12.3% |
| Public market | 65.7% | 22.5% | 11.8% |
Avellino vs Spezia — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2625/26 | Spezia | 1–0 | Avellino | 1.91/3.30/3.90 |
| 25/10/2525/26 | Avellino | 0–4 | Spezia | 2.74/3.00/2.69 |
| 21/12/1717/18 | Spezia | 1–0 | Avellino | 1.84/3.31/4.89 |
| 11/05/1817/18 | Avellino | 1–0 | Spezia | 1.46/4.16/7.63 |
| 15/10/1616/17 | Avellino | 1–0 | Spezia | 3.31/2.95/2.44 |
| 11/03/1716/17 | Spezia | 2–1 | Avellino | 1.68/3.43/5.84 |
| 24/10/1515/16 | Spezia | 1–1 | Avellino | 1.92/3.27/4.35 |
| 05/03/1615/16 | Avellino | 0–1 | Spezia | 2.39/3.01/3.28 |
| 13/09/1414/15 | Avellino | 0–0 | Spezia | 2.27/3.06/3.41 |
| 02/02/1514/15 | Spezia | 0–1 | Avellino | 2.16/3.03/3.76 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Avellino
Away Record: Spezia
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Avellino defeated Spezia 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2017. Goals were scored by L. Castaldo 76′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Avellino had 48% possession while Spezia held 52%. Avellino had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 7 (3 on target) for Spezia. Avellino made 3 substitutions, Spezia made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Avellino and Spezia — 1 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Avellino had 48% possession against Spezia's 52%. Avellino registered 9 shots (4 on target) while Spezia managed 7 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 2–3. Fouls committed: 10–12.
Lineups
Avellino lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under C. Foscarini, while Spezia deployed a 5-3-2 under F. Gallo.
Defensive Solidity
Avellino deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Spezia's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Avellino field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Spezia's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Avellino start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Spezia averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: C. Foscarini
Substitutes
Coach: F. Gallo
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Avellino have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Spezia show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Avellino
Spezia
Avellino vs Spezia Head to Head Results
Avellino and Spezia have met 5 times — Avellino won 1, Spezia won 4, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Spezia leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (2 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (20%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Spezia are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–4 in 2025.
1
Avellino
0
Drawn
4
Spezia
Recent Meetings (5)
API data: 25 Apr 2026