14 April 2019 at 19:00

12
Full Time
Referee: Davide Ghersini

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Benevento0wins
2draws4 meetings
Palermo2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.7%Draw 32.1%Away 27.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.103.40
Max2.263.153.75
Market favourite:Benevento · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.9%30.8%26.3%
Public market44.7%30.3%25.0%
Δ1.8%0.5%1.3%

Benevento vs Palermo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Benevento (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BeneventoHalf-time:01Palermo
17Shots16
8Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
22/04/23Palermo1–1Benevento1.97/3.30/4.09
04/12/22Benevento0–1Palermo1.99/3.26/4.08
14/04/19Benevento1–2Palermo2.19/3.12/3.61
30/11/18Palermo0–0Benevento1.83/3.30/4.92

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Benevento

W 86D 52L 54
Over 2.544
Goals scored279

Away Record: Palermo

W 166D 133L 91
Over 2.547
Goals scored562

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Benevento 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2018. Goals were scored by I. Nestorovski 42′, G. Puşcaş 81′, Asencio 89′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Benevento had 45% possession while Palermo held 55%. Benevento had 19 shots (12 on target) compared to 10 (4 on target) for Palermo. Benevento made 3 substitutions, Palermo made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Benevento and Palermo — 3 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

Benevento
Palermo
Kick Off
42′
I. Nestorovski

assist: M. Jajalo

Half Time
61′Mato Jajalo
F. RicciAsencio
62′
Luca Caldirola66′
74′Slobodan Rajković
S. ArmenterosC. Buonaiuto
76′
L. Del PintoR. Insigne
76′
77′Alessandro Salvi
79′
I. NestorovskiG. Puşcaş
79′
C. FallettiA. Fiordilino
81′
G. Puşcaş

assist: N. Haas

85′
N. HaasR. Pirrello
Asencio

assist: R. Insigne

89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Benevento had 45% possession against Palermo's 55%. Benevento registered 19 shots (12 on target) while Palermo managed 10 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 8–4. Fouls committed: 21–28.

12Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal6
19Total Shots10
0Blocked Shots0
0Shots insidebox0
0Shots outsidebox0
21Fouls28
8Corner Kicks4
1Offsides1
45%Ball Possession55%
2Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves11
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Benevento lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under C. Bucchi, while Palermo deployed a 4-3-1-2 under R. Stellone.

Defensive Solidity

Benevento deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Palermo's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Benevento field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Palermo's 6 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Benevento start 4 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Palermo averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Benevento4-3-34-3-1-2Palermo
GKDEFMIDFWD
12Montipò11Maggio35Caldiro.5Antei10Viola4Pinto25Bandine.9Coda33Armente.16Improta27Ricci1Brignoli5Rajković14Salvi19Aleesami24Szymińs.8Jajalo20Falletti35Murawski32Haas30Nestoro.9Moreo

Substitutes

Coach: C. Bucchi

Substitutes

Coach: R. Stellone

BeneventoPosition StrengthPalermo
Benevento4-3-3
12GoalkeeperL. Montipò
11DefenderC. Maggio
35DefenderL. Caldirola
5DefenderL. Antei
10MidfielderN. Viola
4MidfielderL. Del Pinto
25MidfielderF. Bandinelli
9ForwardM. Coda
33ForwardS. Armenteros
16ForwardR. Improta
27ForwardF. Ricci
Palermo4-3-1-2
1GoalkeeperA. Brignoli
5DefenderS. Rajković
14DefenderA. Salvi
19DefenderH. Aleesami
24MidfielderP. Szymiński
8MidfielderM. Jajalo
20MidfielderC. Falletti
35MidfielderR. Murawski
32MidfielderN. Haas
9MidfielderS. Moreo
30ForwardI. Nestorovski

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Benevento have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Benevento

DLWDLW

Palermo

WDWWDL
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026