22 April 2019 at 19:00

11
Full Time
Referee: Illuzzi Lorenzo

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Palermo dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Palermo5wins
1draws6 meetings
Padova0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 68.6%Draw 25.5%Away 11.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.443.808.00
Max1.484.009.01
Market favourite:Palermo · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market65.0%24.3%10.7%
Public market64.8%23.5%11.7%
Δ0.2%0.9%1.1%

Palermo vs Padova — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Palermo (69%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PalermoHalf-time:11Padova
14Shots10
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/03/26Padova0–1Palermo4.75/3.60/1.71
27/12/25Palermo1–0Padova1.46/3.80/6.50
22/04/19Palermo1–1Padova1.46/3.92/8.50
08/12/18Padova1–3Palermo3.79/3.20/2.08
08/09/13Padova0–3Palermo2.78/3.09/2.65
08/02/14Palermo1–0Padova1.58/3.64/6.59

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Palermo

W 166D 133L 91
Over 2.547
Goals scored562

Away Record: Padova

W 89D 107L 122
Over 2.546
Goals scored354

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Palermo and Padova drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie B 2018. Goals were scored by A. Trajkovski 14′, N. Pulzetti 15′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Palermo had 58% possession while Padova held 42%. Palermo had 10 shots (6 on target) compared to 8 (3 on target) for Padova. Palermo made 3 substitutions, Padova made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Palermo and Padova — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Palermo
Padova
Kick Off
15′
N. Pulzetti
24′
P. CeccaroniT. Trevisan
Alessandro Salvi30′
35′Yves Baraye
41′Trevor Trevisan
Half Time
46′
L. RavanelliD. Cappelletti
A. SalviA. Rispoli
71′
N. HaasG. Puşcaş
75′
80′
N. MadonnaM. Morganella
82′Lorenzo Lollo
H. AleesamiA. Mazzotta
83′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Palermo had 58% possession against Padova's 42%. Palermo registered 10 shots (6 on target) while Padova managed 8 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 12–1. Fouls committed: 17–14.

6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
10Total Shots8
0Blocked Shots0
0Shots insidebox0
0Shots outsidebox0
17Fouls14
12Corner Kicks1
3Offsides0
58%Ball Possession42%
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Palermo lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under R. Stellone, while Padova deployed a 4-4-2 under M. Centurioni.

Defensive Solidity

Palermo deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Padova's 2-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Palermo field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Padova's 8 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Palermo start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Padova averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Palermo4-4-24-4-2Padova
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Brignoli5Rajković2Bellusci14Salvi19Aleesami20Falletti35Murawski32Haas30Nestoro.10Trajkov.9Moreo1Minelli3Cherubin16Madonna6Ceccaro.20Ravanel.7Pulzetti11Lollo10Baraye4Serena27Bonazzo.28Capello

Substitutes

Coach: R. Stellone

Substitutes

Coach: M. Centurioni

PalermoPosition StrengthPadova
Palermo4-4-2
1GoalkeeperA. Brignoli
5DefenderS. Rajković
2DefenderG. Bellusci
14DefenderA. Salvi
19DefenderH. Aleesami
20MidfielderC. Falletti
35MidfielderR. Murawski
32MidfielderN. Haas
9MidfielderS. Moreo
30ForwardI. Nestorovski
10ForwardA. Trajkovski
Padova4-4-2
3DefenderN. Cherubin
6DefenderP. Ceccaroni
1MidfielderS. Minelli
16MidfielderN. Madonna
20MidfielderL. Ravanelli
7MidfielderN. Pulzetti
11MidfielderL. Lollo
10MidfielderY. Baraye
4MidfielderR. Serena
28MidfielderA. Capello
27ForwardF. Bonazzoli

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Palermo have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Padova show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Palermo

WDWWDL

Padova

WWLLLL

Palermo vs Padova Head to Head Results

Palermo and Padova have met 2 times — Palermo won 2, Padova won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Palermo leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (2 for the home side, 0 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–1 in 2026.

2

Palermo

0

Drawn

0

Padova

Goals: 2Goals: 0

Recent Meetings (2)

21 Mar 2026Padova0 – 1Palermo
27 Dec 2025Palermo1 – 0Padova
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026