Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Carpi dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.5
Average goals per game
67%
Games with 3+ goals
67%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Carpi.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.75 |
| Max | 1.87 | 3.34 | 5.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 51.7% | 29.0% | 19.3% |
| Public market | 52.0% | 29.3% | 18.7% |
Salernitana vs Carpi — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/1918/19 | Salernitana | 2–5 | Carpi | 1.82/3.26/4.92 |
| 16/12/1818/19 | Carpi | 3–2 | Salernitana | 2.86/2.88/2.77 |
| 09/09/1717/18 | Carpi | 1–0 | Salernitana | 2.21/3.04/3.65 |
| 03/02/1817/18 | Salernitana | 1–2 | Carpi | 2.16/3.07/3.67 |
| 17/12/1616/17 | Salernitana | 1–2 | Carpi | 2.35/3.00/3.37 |
| 06/05/1716/17 | Carpi | 2–0 | Salernitana | 1.67/3.54/5.69 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Salernitana
Away Record: Carpi
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Carpi defeated Salernitana 5:2. The match was played in Serie B 2018. Goals were scored by K. Cissé 8′ (pen.), M. Đurić 18′, K. Cissé 31′, E. Calaiò 33′, G. Crociata 48′, A. Sabbione 80′, A. Arrighini 90′. 2 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Salernitana had 44% possession while Carpi held 56%. Salernitana had 7 shots (5 on target) compared to 13 (7 on target) for Carpi. Salernitana made 3 substitutions, Carpi made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Salernitana and Carpi — 7 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: G. Gigliotti
assist: G. Rolando
assist: J. Akpa Akpro
assist: K. Cissé
assist: D. Marsura
assist: M. Coulibaly
Match Statistics
Salernitana had 44% possession against Carpi's 56%. Salernitana registered 7 shots (5 on target) while Carpi managed 13 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 9–1. Fouls committed: 13–25.
Lineups
Salernitana lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under A. Gregucci, while Carpi deployed a 4-4-1-1 under F. Castori.
Defensive Solidity
Salernitana deploy 0 defenders rated — on average, against Carpi's 2-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Salernitana field 10 midfielders averaging —, versus Carpi's 8 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Salernitana start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Carpi averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: A. Gregucci
Substitutes
Coach: F. Castori
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Salernitana have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Carpi show 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 0 outings.
Salernitana
Carpi
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API data: 25 Apr 2026