4 May 2019 at 13:00

12
Full Time
Referee: Francesco Fourneau

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Palermo dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ascoli1wins
2draws8 meetings
Palermo5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 9.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.9%Draw 31.0%Away 48.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.202.05
Max3.403.252.10
Market favourite:Palermo · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AscoliHalf-time:00Palermo
7Shots16
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
05/05/24Palermo2–2Ascoli2.23/3.16/3.39
16/09/23Ascoli0–1Palermo3.39/3.18/2.20
29/01/23Ascoli1–2Palermo2.35/3.09/3.16
27/08/22Palermo2–3Ascoli2.37/3.25/3.10
04/05/19Ascoli1–2Palermo3.35/3.23/2.08
27/12/18Palermo3–0Ascoli1.62/3.59/6.18
30/09/17Ascoli0–0Palermo3.97/3.31/1.99
27/02/18Palermo4–1Ascoli1.55/3.70/6.86

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Away Record: Palermo

W 166D 133L 91
Over 2.547
Goals scored562

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Ascoli 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2018. Goals were scored by S. Moreo 60′, B. Addae 63′, N. Haas 86′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Ascoli had 46% possession while Palermo held 54%. Ascoli had 3 shots (2 on target) compared to 12 (4 on target) for Palermo. Ascoli made 2 substitutions, Palermo made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Ascoli and Palermo — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Ascoli
Palermo
Kick Off
Half Time
B. Addae

assist: F. Casarini

63′
70′
R. MurawskiA. Fiordilino
74′Slobodan Rajković
76′Mato Jajalo
B. AddaeD. Frattesi
77′
77′
G. PuşcaşC. Falletti
Federico Casarini80′
85′Przemysław Szymiński
86′
N. Haas

assist: M. Jajalo

M. ChajiaS. Coly
87′
90+5′
A. MazzottaH. Aleesami
Full Time

Match Statistics

Ascoli had 46% possession against Palermo's 54%. Ascoli registered 3 shots (2 on target) while Palermo managed 12 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 4–3. Fouls committed: 19–18.

2Shots on Goal4
1Shots off Goal8
3Total Shots12
0Blocked Shots0
0Shots insidebox0
0Shots outsidebox0
19Fouls18
4Corner Kicks3
6Offsides3
46%Ball Possession54%
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Ascoli lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under V. Vivarini, while Palermo deployed a 4-3-3 under D. Rossi.

Defensive Solidity

Ascoli deploy 1 defenders rated — on average, against Palermo's 2-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Ascoli field 10 midfielders averaging —, versus Palermo's 6 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Ascoli start 0 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Palermo averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Ascoli4-3-34-3-3Palermo
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Lanni2Valenti.6D'Elia37Laverone14Padella16Casarini19Addae20Ciciret.17Cavion32Ardemag.18Chajia1Brignoli5Rajković2Bellusci27Mazzotta24Szymińs.8Jajalo35Murawski32Haas10Trajkov.29Puşcaş9Moreo

Substitutes

Coach: V. Vivarini

Substitutes

Coach: D. Rossi

AscoliPosition StrengthPalermo
Ascoli4-3-3
2DefenderN. Valentini
1MidfielderI. Lanni
6MidfielderS. D'Elia
37MidfielderL. Laverone
14MidfielderE. Padella
16MidfielderF. Casarini
19MidfielderB. Addae
20MidfielderA. Ciciretti
17MidfielderM. Cavion
32MidfielderM. Ardemagni
18MidfielderM. Chajia
Palermo4-3-3
1GoalkeeperA. Brignoli
5DefenderS. Rajković
2DefenderG. Bellusci
27MidfielderA. Mazzotta
24MidfielderP. Szymiński
8MidfielderM. Jajalo
35MidfielderR. Murawski
32MidfielderN. Haas
9MidfielderS. Moreo
10ForwardA. Trajkovski
29ForwardG. Puşcaş

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Ascoli have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Ascoli

WWWWWW

Palermo

WDWWDL
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026