Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
75%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (16%) — the odds may underestimate Padova.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 5.90 | 3.80 | 1.55 |
| Max | 6.50 | 3.87 | 1.62 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 16.2% | 24.7% | 59.1% |
| Public market | 14.5% | 24.8% | 60.7% |
| Δ | 1.7% | — | 1.7% |
Padova vs Livorno — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/1110/11 | Livorno | 3–3 | Padova | 1.89/3.04/4.36 |
| 21/05/1110/11 | Padova | 3–2 | Livorno | 2.24/2.95/3.18 |
| 11/05/1918/19 | Padova | 1–1 | Livorno | 6.13/3.82/1.57 |
| 30/12/1818/19 | Livorno | 1–1 | Padova | 2.05/3.07/4.11 |
| 06/04/1211/12 | Livorno | 1–2 | Padova | 2.50/2.94/2.93 |
| 03/09/1212/13 | Livorno | 3–2 | Padova | 2.50/2.98/3.10 |
| 26/01/1312/13 | Padova | 0–0 | Livorno | 2.73/3.08/2.71 |
| 01/11/1111/12 | Padova | 1–0 | Livorno | 1.92/3.18/4.11 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Padova
Away Record: Livorno
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Padova and Livorno drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie B 2018. Goals were scored by N. Giannetti 32′, D. Mazzocco 66′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Padova had 48% possession while Livorno held 52%. Padova had 10 shots (3 on target) compared to 10 (4 on target) for Livorno. Padova made 3 substitutions, Livorno made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Padova and Livorno — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: D. Agazzi
assist: P. Ceccaroni
Match Statistics
Padova had 48% possession against Livorno's 52%. Padova registered 10 shots (3 on target) while Livorno managed 10 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–8. Fouls committed: 17–18.
Lineups
Padova lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under M. Centurioni, while Livorno deployed a 3-4-3 under R. Breda.
Defensive Solidity
Padova deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Livorno's 1-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Padova field 8 midfielders averaging —, versus Livorno's 9 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Padova start 0 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Livorno averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: M. Centurioni
Substitutes
Coach: R. Breda
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Padova have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Livorno show 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Padova
Livorno
API data: 25 Apr 2026