30 September 2019 at 19:00

10
Full Time
Referee: I. Pezzuto

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cremonese3wins
5draws10 meetings
Ascoli2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Ascoli.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.3%Draw 30.6%Away 29.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.253.20
Max2.263.283.48
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Cremonese · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.8%29.5%27.8%
Public market41.7%28.9%29.4%
Δ1.0%0.6%1.6%

Cremonese vs Ascoli — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cremonese
Result vs. Market: Cremonese (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CremoneseHalf-time:10Ascoli
17Shots4
8Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
16/02/24Ascoli0–0Cremonese3.75/3.29/2.04
23/09/23Cremonese2–2Ascoli1.69/3.61/5.01
30/04/22Cremonese0–1Ascoli1.82/3.59/4.39
18/12/21Ascoli1–4Cremonese3.00/3.14/2.39
19/03/21Ascoli0–0Cremonese3.29/3.02/2.41
12/12/20Cremonese3–3Ascoli1.76/3.38/5.46
17/06/20Ascoli1–3Cremonese2.45/3.10/3.06
30/09/19Cremonese1–0Ascoli2.25/3.26/3.34
23/02/19Cremonese0–1Ascoli1.98/2.99/4.59
30/09/18Ascoli0–0Cremonese2.50/2.99/3.11

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cremonese

W 109D 114L 125
Over 2.542
Goals scored408

Away Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Cremonese defeated Ascoli 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2019. Goals were scored by D. Soddimo 20′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Cremonese had 37% possession while Ascoli held 63%. Cremonese had 21 shots (8 on target) compared to 5 (1 on target) for Ascoli. Cremonese made 3 substitutions, Ascoli made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Cremonese and Ascoli — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Cremonese
Ascoli
Kick Off
Mariano Arini15′
D. Soddimo

assist: M. Bianchetti

20′
Half Time
46′
M. ArdemagniL. Rosseti
60′
N. NinkovićM. Chajia
F. CeravoloS. Palombi
70′
77′
R. PucinoL. Laverone
D. SoddimoD. Ciofani
81′
ClaitonL. Ravanelli
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Cremonese had 37% possession against Ascoli's 63%. Cremonese registered 21 shots (8 on target) while Ascoli managed 5 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–4. Fouls committed: 17–13.

8Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal4
21Total Shots5
4Blocked Shots0
10Shots insidebox3
11Shots outsidebox2
17Fouls13
3Corner Kicks4
4Offsides2
37%Ball Possession63%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves7
322Total passes539
228Passes accurate441
71%Passes %82%

Lineups

Cremonese lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under M. Rastelli, while Ascoli deployed a 4-3-1-2 under P. Zanetti.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Cremonese is 6.80, compared to — for Ascoli. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Cremonese's highest-rated starter is M. Bianchetti (6.80), while Ascoli's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Cremonese deploy 3 defenders rated 6.80 on average, against Ascoli's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Cremonese field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Ascoli's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Cremonese start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Ascoli averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 82% for Cremonese and —% for Ascoli. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Cremonese's starters have collected 3 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Ascoli. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Cremonese's starting XI is 34.0 (youngest: M. Bianchetti (32), oldest: M. Castagnetti (36)), while Ascoli average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Cremonese's starters average 12 league appearances each, versus 0 for Ascoli. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Cremonese3-5-24-3-1-2Ascoli
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Ravaglia33Renzetti3Claiton23Caracci.15Bianche.14Mogoș10Soddimo19Castagn.4Arini5Valzania30Ceravolo33Leali23Brosco3D'Elia5Pucino15Gravill.19Padoin7Cavion8Petrucci32Ardemag.11Ninković17Cruz

Substitutes

Coach: M. Rastelli

Substitutes

Coach: P. Zanetti

CremonesePosition StrengthAscoli
6.80
Avg Rating
6.80Defender (3 v 4)
0G 2A0G 0A
Cremonese3-5-2
1GoalkeeperN. Ravaglia
3DefenderClaiton
23DefenderA. Caracciolo
15DefenderM. Bianchetti6.82A
33MidfielderF. Renzetti
14MidfielderV. Mogoș
19MidfielderM. Castagnetti
4MidfielderM. Arini
5MidfielderL. Valzania
10ForwardD. Soddimo
30ForwardF. Ceravolo
Ascoli4-3-1-2
33GoalkeeperN. Leali
23DefenderR. Brosco
3DefenderS. D'Elia
5DefenderR. Pucino
15DefenderA. Gravillon
19MidfielderS. Padoin
7MidfielderM. Cavion
8MidfielderD. Petrucci
11MidfielderN. Ninković
32ForwardM. Ardemagni
17ForwardA. da Cruz

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Cremonese have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Ascoli show 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Cremonese

LDLLWL

Ascoli

WWWWWW

Cremonese vs Ascoli Head to Head Results

Cremonese and Ascoli have met 11 times — Cremonese won 2, Ascoli won 3, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Ascoli leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.18 per match (13 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ascoli are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2020.

2

Cremonese

6

Drawn

3

Ascoli

Goals: 13Goals: 11

Recent Meetings (11)

16 Feb 2024Ascoli0 – 0Cremonese
23 Sept 2023Cremonese2 – 2Ascoli
30 Apr 2022Cremonese0 – 1Ascoli
18 Dec 2021Ascoli1 – 4Cremonese
19 Mar 2021Ascoli0 – 0Cremonese
12 Dec 2020Cremonese3 – 3Ascoli
17 Jun 2020Ascoli1 – 3Cremonese
23 Feb 2019Cremonese0 – 1Ascoli
30 Sept 2018Ascoli0 – 0Cremonese
21 Apr 2018Cremonese1 – 2Ascoli
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026