Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Spezia dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.2
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Spezia.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.83 | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| Max | 1.93 | 3.26 | 4.75 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 49.9% | 29.6% | 20.5% |
| Public market | 51.1% | 29.2% | 19.7% |
| Δ | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Spezia vs Salernitana — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2524/25 | Spezia | 2–0 | Salernitana | 1.96/3.24/4.37 |
| 19/10/2424/25 | Salernitana | 0–2 | Spezia | 2.67/3.15/2.67 |
| 31/07/2019/20 | Salernitana | 1–2 | Spezia | 1.85/3.61/4.20 |
| 29/12/1919/20 | Spezia | 2–1 | Salernitana | 1.87/3.24/4.65 |
| 02/04/1918/19 | Spezia | 2–1 | Salernitana | 1.71/3.53/5.30 |
| 10/11/1818/19 | Salernitana | 1–0 | Spezia | 2.17/2.99/3.76 |
| 23/09/1717/18 | Salernitana | 2–0 | Spezia | 2.15/3.06/3.81 |
| 23/02/1817/18 | Spezia | 3–0 | Salernitana | 1.99/3.06/4.50 |
| 26/08/1616/17 | Spezia | 1–1 | Salernitana | 1.76/3.34/5.21 |
| 22/01/1716/17 | Salernitana | 1–0 | Spezia | 2.29/3.08/3.41 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Spezia
Away Record: Salernitana
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Spezia defeated Salernitana 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2019. Goals were scored by A. Ragusa 5′, E. Gyasi 83′, L. Jallow 85′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Spezia had 47% possession while Salernitana held 53%. Spezia had 15 shots (3 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Salernitana. Spezia made 3 substitutions, Salernitana made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Spezia and Salernitana — 3 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
assist: G. Maggiore
assist: M. Ricci
assist: M. Đurić
Match Statistics
Spezia had 47% possession against Salernitana's 53%. Spezia registered 15 shots (3 on target) while Salernitana managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 4–1. Fouls committed: 19–19.
Lineups
Spezia lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under V. Italiano, while Salernitana deployed a 3-5-2 under G. Ventura.
Defensive Solidity
Spezia deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Salernitana's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Spezia field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Salernitana's 6 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Spezia start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Salernitana averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: V. Italiano
Substitutes
Coach: G. Ventura
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Spezia have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Salernitana show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Spezia
Salernitana
Spezia vs Salernitana Head to Head Results
Spezia and Salernitana have met 13 times — Spezia won 6, Salernitana won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Spezia leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 29 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.23 per match (17 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (46%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Spezia are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2022.
6
Spezia
3
Drawn
4
Salernitana
Recent Meetings (13)
API data: 25 Apr 2026