Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Spezia.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.05 | 2.91 | 3.90 |
| Max | 2.19 | 3.00 | 4.18 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 43.9% | 33.1% | 23.0% |
| Public market | 44.7% | 31.3% | 24.1% |
| Δ | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
Perugia vs Spezia — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2019/20 | Perugia | 0–3 | Spezia | 2.11/2.97/4.03 |
| 21/09/1919/20 | Spezia | 2–2 | Perugia | 2.39/3.02/3.26 |
| 27/04/1918/19 | Spezia | 1–1 | Perugia | 2.19/3.15/3.44 |
| 15/12/1818/19 | Perugia | 1–1 | Spezia | 2.10/3.10/3.89 |
| 21/10/1717/18 | Spezia | 4–2 | Perugia | 2.32/3.02/3.37 |
| 17/03/1817/18 | Perugia | 3–0 | Spezia | 2.02/3.09/4.28 |
| 17/12/1616/17 | Spezia | 2–1 | Perugia | 2.39/2.93/3.35 |
| 05/05/1716/17 | Perugia | 0–0 | Spezia | 2.16/3.11/3.66 |
| 22/09/1515/16 | Spezia | 1–0 | Perugia | 2.10/3.12/3.87 |
| 06/02/1615/16 | Perugia | 0–0 | Spezia | 2.37/2.89/3.49 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Perugia
Away Record: Spezia
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Spezia defeated Perugia 3:0. The match was played in Serie B 2019. Goals were scored by M. Ricci 41′ (pen.), M. N'Zola 60′, F. Ricci 73′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown. Perugia had 42% possession while Spezia held 58%. Perugia had 9 shots (2 on target) compared to 12 (6 on target) for Spezia. Perugia made 3 substitutions, Spezia made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Perugia and Spezia — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: P. Bartolomei
Penalty
Match Statistics
Perugia had 42% possession against Spezia's 58%. Perugia registered 9 shots (2 on target) while Spezia managed 12 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 5–5. Fouls committed: 17–16.
Lineups
Perugia lined up in a 3-1-4-2 formation under S. Cosmi, while Spezia deployed a 4-3-3 under V. Italiano.
Defensive Solidity
Perugia deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Spezia's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Perugia field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Spezia's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Perugia start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Spezia averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: S. Cosmi
Substitutes
Coach: V. Italiano
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Perugia have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats. Spezia show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Perugia
Spezia
Perugia vs Spezia Head to Head Results
Perugia and Spezia have met 7 times — Perugia won 1, Spezia won 2, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Spezia leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 20 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.86 per match (10 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (71%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Perugia are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2017.
1
Perugia
4
Drawn
2
Spezia
Recent Meetings (7)
API data: 25 Apr 2026