7 March 2020 at 14:00

10
Full Time
Referee: S. Sozza

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Perugia3wins
5draws10 meetings
Salernitana2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

90%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Perugia.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.9%Draw 33.0%Away 26.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.102.883.60
Max2.293.103.90
Over 2.5: 42.6%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Perugia · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.0%33.4%24.6%
Public market44.8%30.4%24.8%
Δ2.9%3.0%0.1%

Perugia vs Salernitana — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Perugia
Result vs. Market: Perugia (46%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PerugiaHalf-time:10Salernitana
13Shots4
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
07/03/20Perugia1–0Salernitana2.18/3.03/3.77
26/10/19Salernitana1–1Perugia2.48/3.08/3.04
03/03/19Perugia3–1Salernitana2.07/2.97/4.25
21/10/18Salernitana2–1Perugia2.21/2.91/3.83
09/12/17Salernitana1–1Perugia2.18/3.29/3.35
01/05/18Perugia1–1Salernitana1.65/3.58/5.53
30/12/16Salernitana2–1Perugia2.48/3.02/3.10
18/05/17Perugia3–2Salernitana1.55/3.92/5.96
31/10/15Salernitana1–1Perugia2.68/2.97/2.87
19/03/16Perugia1–1Salernitana1.79/3.41/4.95

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Perugia

W 148D 130L 120
Over 2.540
Goals scored479

Away Record: Salernitana

W 194D 192L 252
Over 2.544
Goals scored734

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Perugia defeated Salernitana 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2019. Goals were scored by P. Mazzocchi 22′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Perugia had 41% possession while Salernitana held 59%. Perugia had 13 shots (4 on target) compared to 4 (2 on target) for Salernitana. Perugia made 3 substitutions, Salernitana made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Perugia and Salernitana — 1 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Perugia
Salernitana
Kick Off
P. Mazzocchi

assist: F. Melchiorri

22′
Leandro Greco39′
41′Sofian Kiyine
Half Time
46′
F. MaistroL. Jallow
56′
P. DziczekL. Capezzi
D. FalcinelliP. Iemmello
75′
79′
A. CerciE. Cicerelli
86′Lamin Jallow
L. GrecoM. Carraro
88′
A. RosiS. Rajković
90+1′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Perugia had 41% possession against Salernitana's 59%. Perugia registered 13 shots (4 on target) while Salernitana managed 4 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 7–4. Fouls committed: 18–22.

4Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal2
13Total Shots4
3Blocked Shots0
6Shots insidebox0
7Shots outsidebox4
18Fouls22
7Corner Kicks4
2Offsides1
41%Ball Possession59%
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
315Total passes462
241Passes accurate368
77%Passes %80%

Lineups

Perugia lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under S. Cosmi, while Salernitana deployed a 3-5-2 under G. Ventura.

Defensive Solidity

Perugia deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Salernitana's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Perugia field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Salernitana's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Perugia start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Salernitana averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Perugia3-5-23-5-2Salernitana
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Vicario2Rosi27Chiara25Falasco7Mazzocc.6Sgarbi19Greco23Falzera.14Nicolus.8Falcine.36Melchio.12Micai3López28Heurtaux18Aya2Billong21Akpro27Dziczek13Kiyine23Maistro7Cerci15Gondo

Substitutes

Coach: S. Cosmi

Substitutes

Coach: G. Ventura

PerugiaPosition StrengthSalernitana
Perugia3-5-2
1GoalkeeperG. Vicario
2DefenderA. Rosi
25DefenderN. Falasco
6DefenderF. Sgarbi
27MidfielderG. Di Chiara
7MidfielderP. Mazzocchi
19MidfielderL. Greco
23MidfielderM. Falzerano
14MidfielderH. Nicolussi
8ForwardD. Falcinelli
36ForwardF. Melchiorri
Salernitana3-5-2
12GoalkeeperA. Micai
28DefenderT. Heurtaux
18DefenderR. Aya
2DefenderJ. Billong
3MidfielderW. López
21MidfielderJ. Akpa Akpro
27MidfielderP. Dziczek
13MidfielderS. Kiyine
23MidfielderF. Maistro
7ForwardA. Cerci
15ForwardC. Gondo

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Perugia have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats. Salernitana show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Perugia

LDDWDD

Salernitana

WWLLWW

Perugia vs Salernitana Head to Head Results

Perugia and Salernitana have met 7 times — Perugia won 2, Salernitana won 2, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (11 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2017.

2

Perugia

3

Drawn

2

Salernitana

Goals: 11Goals: 10

Recent Meetings (7)

26 Oct 2019Salernitana1 – 1Perugia
3 Mar 2019Perugia3 – 1Salernitana
21 Oct 2018Salernitana2 – 1Perugia
1 May 2018Perugia1 – 1Salernitana
9 Dec 2017Salernitana1 – 1Perugia
18 May 2017Perugia3 – 2Salernitana
30 Dec 2016Salernitana2 – 1Perugia
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026