Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.3
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Frosinone.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.45 | 2.85 | 3.20 |
| Max | 2.59 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 37.1% | 33.7% | 29.1% |
| Public market | 38.5% | 32.5% | 29.0% |
| Δ | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Frosinone vs Spezia — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2625/26 | Spezia | 0–2 | Frosinone | 2.50/3.30/2.50 |
| 20/12/2525/26 | Frosinone | 2–1 | Spezia | 1.76/3.60/4.20 |
| 25/04/2524/25 | Frosinone | 2–2 | Spezia | 3.78/3.49/1.98 |
| 24/08/2424/25 | Spezia | 2–1 | Frosinone | 2.30/3.36/3.02 |
| 03/07/2019/20 | Frosinone | 2–1 | Spezia | 2.50/2.88/3.25 |
| 24/11/1919/20 | Spezia | 2–0 | Frosinone | 2.86/3.10/2.61 |
| 11/11/1717/18 | Spezia | 1–1 | Frosinone | 2.88/2.96/2.68 |
| 14/04/1817/18 | Frosinone | 1–1 | Spezia | 1.75/3.35/5.25 |
| 03/12/1616/17 | Spezia | 0–0 | Frosinone | 2.30/3.00/3.41 |
| 25/04/1716/17 | Frosinone | 2–0 | Spezia | 1.94/3.14/4.48 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Frosinone
Away Record: Spezia
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Frosinone defeated Spezia 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2019. Goals were scored by A. Salvi 13′, A. Galabinov 50′ (pen.), L. Paganini 85′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Frosinone had 51% possession while Spezia held 49%. Frosinone had 12 shots (2 on target) compared to 7 (1 on target) for Spezia. Frosinone made 2 substitutions, Spezia made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Frosinone and Spezia — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Rohdén
Penalty
assist: A. Salvi
Match Statistics
Frosinone had 51% possession against Spezia's 49%. Frosinone registered 12 shots (2 on target) while Spezia managed 7 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–1. Fouls committed: 15–15.
Lineups
Frosinone lined up in a 3-4-1-2 formation under A. Nesta, while Spezia deployed a 4-3-3 under V. Italiano.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Frosinone is —, compared to 6.48 for Spezia. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Frosinone's highest-rated starter is —, while Spezia's best-rated player is Luca Vignali (6.48).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Frosinone have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Spezia's starters account for 1 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by Luca Vignali (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Frosinone deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Spezia's 4-man backline averaging 6.48. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Frosinone field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Spezia's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Frosinone start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Spezia averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages —% for Frosinone and 67% for Spezia. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Frosinone's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 3 for Spezia. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Frosinone's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Spezia average 29.0 (youngest: Luca Vignali (29), oldest: Luca Vignali (29)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Frosinone's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 26 for Spezia. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: A. Nesta
Substitutes
Coach: V. Italiano
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Frosinone have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Spezia show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Frosinone
Spezia
Frosinone vs Spezia Head to Head Results
Frosinone and Spezia have met 11 times — Frosinone won 4, Spezia won 3, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Frosinone leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 22 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (12 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (27%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Frosinone are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.
4
Frosinone
4
Drawn
3
Spezia
Recent Meetings (11)
API data: 25 Apr 2026