10 December 2021 at 17:00

32
Full Time
Referee: M. Marcenaro

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cremonese3wins
1draws6 meetings
Crotone2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Cremonese.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.7%Draw 27.4%Away 20.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.703.504.50
Max1.753.765.23
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Cremonese · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.6%25.9%18.6%
Public market55.0%25.3%19.7%
Δ0.5%0.6%1.1%

Cremonese vs Crotone — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cremonese
Result vs. Market: Cremonese (58%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CremoneseHalf-time:11Crotone
16Shots11
5Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
25/04/22Crotone3–1Cremonese4.63/3.62/1.75
10/12/21Cremonese3–2Crotone1.73/3.65/4.83
08/02/20Crotone1–0Cremonese1.74/3.28/5.53
21/09/19Cremonese2–1Crotone2.19/3.14/3.54
13/04/19Crotone0–0Cremonese2.23/3.05/3.57
01/12/18Cremonese1–0Crotone2.46/2.96/3.23

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cremonese

W 109D 114L 125
Over 2.542
Goals scored408

Away Record: Crotone

W 202D 175L 231
Over 2.547
Goals scored737

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Cremonese defeated Crotone 3:2. The match was played in Serie B 2021. Goals were scored by M. Marić 4′, N. Fagioli 39′, L. Strizzolo 51′, L. Zanimacchia 73′, Ahmed Benali 83′ (pen.). 3 yellow cards were shown. Cremonese had 43% possession while Crotone held 57%. Cremonese had 16 shots (5 on target) compared to 11 (7 on target) for Crotone. Cremonese made 5 substitutions, Crotone made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Cremonese and Crotone — 5 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Cremonese
Crotone
Kick Off
4′
M. Marić

assist: M. Sala

N. Fagioli

assist: L. Strizzolo

39′
Half Time
L. Strizzolo

assist: N. Fagioli

51′
C. BuonaiutoL. Zanimacchia
58′
L. StrizzoloJ. Báez
65′
N. FagioliL. Valzania
66′
66′
M. SalaP. Giannotti
66′
N. ZanellatoA. Kargbo
L. Zanimacchia

assist: L. Valzania

73′
83′
D. CiofaniL. Vido
84′
G. GaetanoF. Deli
85′
86′
M. VulićB. Oddei
Francesco Deli90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Cremonese had 43% possession against Crotone's 57%. Cremonese registered 16 shots (5 on target) while Crotone managed 11 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 3–1. Fouls committed: 14–16.

5Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots11
5Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls16
3Corner Kicks1
5Offsides2
43%Ball Possession57%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
392Total passes546
290Passes accurate429
74%Passes %79%

Lineups

Cremonese lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under F. Pecchia, while Crotone deployed a 3-4-2-1 under P. Marino.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Cremonese is 6.80, compared to — for Crotone. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Cremonese's highest-rated starter is M. Bianchetti (6.80), while Crotone's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Cremonese deploy 4 defenders rated 6.80 on average, against Crotone's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Cremonese field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Crotone's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Cremonese start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Crotone averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 82% for Cremonese and —% for Crotone. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Cremonese's starters have collected 3 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Crotone. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Cremonese's starting XI is 32.0 (youngest: L. Sernicola (28), oldest: M. Castagnetti (36)), while Crotone average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Cremonese's starters average 8 league appearances each, versus 0 for Crotone. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Cremonese4-2-3-13-4-2-1Crotone
GKDEFMIDFWD
12Carnese.23Crescen.15Bianche.17Sernico.55Okoli19Castagn.70Gaetano21Fagioli9Ciofani10Buonaiu.11Strizzo.1Festa17Molina27Nedelce.30Paz29Sala19Canestr.10Benali7Vulić8Estévez21Zanella.99Marić

Substitutes

Coach: F. Pecchia

Substitutes

Coach: P. Marino

CremonesePosition StrengthCrotone
6.80
Avg Rating
6.80Defender (4 v 3)
0G 2A0G 0A
Cremonese4-2-3-1
12GoalkeeperM. Carnesecchi
23DefenderA. Crescenzi
15DefenderM. Bianchetti6.82A
17DefenderL. Sernicola
55DefenderC. Okoli
19MidfielderM. Castagnetti
70MidfielderG. Gaetano
21MidfielderN. Fagioli
10MidfielderC. Buonaiuto
11MidfielderL. Strizzolo
9ForwardD. Ciofani
Crotone3-4-2-1
1GoalkeeperM. Festa
27DefenderI. Nedelcearu
30DefenderN. Paz
19DefenderS. Canestrelli
17MidfielderS. Molina
29MidfielderM. Sala
7MidfielderM. Vulić
8MidfielderN. Estévez
10ForwardAhmed Benali
21ForwardN. Zanellato
99ForwardM. Marić

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Cremonese have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Crotone show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Cremonese

LDLLWL

Crotone

WWLWDL

Cremonese vs Crotone Head to Head Results

Cremonese and Crotone have met 5 times — Cremonese won 2, Crotone won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. A combined 9 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.80 per match (4 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2022.

2

Cremonese

1

Drawn

2

Crotone

Goals: 4Goals: 5

Recent Meetings (5)

25 Apr 2022Crotone3 – 1Cremonese
8 Feb 2020Crotone1 – 0Cremonese
21 Sept 2019Cremonese2 – 1Crotone
13 Apr 2019Crotone0 – 0Cremonese
1 Dec 2018Cremonese1 – 0Crotone
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026