Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ascoli dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.7
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Ascoli.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Max | 1.78 | 4.08 | 4.66 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 55.4% | 23.8% | 20.8% |
| Public market | 54.2% | 24.6% | 21.3% |
| Δ | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Ascoli vs Ternana — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2423/24 | Ternana | 0–1 | Ascoli | 2.54/3.19/2.87 |
| 26/09/2323/24 | Ascoli | 2–0 | Ternana | 2.33/3.14/3.16 |
| 15/01/2322/23 | Ternana | 1–0 | Ascoli | 2.21/3.29/3.36 |
| 14/08/2222/23 | Ascoli | 2–1 | Ternana | 2.08/3.29/3.56 |
| 06/05/2221/22 | Ascoli | 4–1 | Ternana | 1.74/3.81/4.46 |
| 14/01/2221/22 | Ternana | 2–4 | Ascoli | 1.85/3.52/4.30 |
| 21/10/1717/18 | Ternana | 1–1 | Ascoli | 2.07/3.31/3.71 |
| 17/03/1817/18 | Ascoli | 2–1 | Ternana | 2.35/3.03/3.31 |
| 30/12/1616/17 | Ternana | 0–1 | Ascoli | 2.38/3.14/3.16 |
| 18/05/1716/17 | Ascoli | 1–2 | Ternana | 5.40/3.85/1.62 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Ascoli
Away Record: Ternana
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Ascoli defeated Ternana 4:1. The match was played in Serie B 2021. Goals were scored by F. Tsadjout 6′, F. Tsadjout 19′, A. Partipilo 46′, F. Tsadjout 60′, M. Defendi 63′ (o.g.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Ascoli had 59% possession while Ternana held 41%. Ascoli had 18 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Ternana. Ascoli made 5 substitutions, Ternana made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Michele Collocolo 38′).
Match Events
Key match events between Ascoli and Ternana — 5 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: F. Dionisi
assist: M. Collocolo
assist: A. Celli
assist: F. Dionisi
Own Goal
Match Statistics
Ascoli had 59% possession against Ternana's 41%. Ascoli registered 18 shots (6 on target) while Ternana managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 2–9. Fouls committed: 9–15.
Lineups
Ascoli lined up in a 4-3-1-2 formation under A. Sottil, while Ternana deployed a 3-5-2 under C. Lucarelli.
Defensive Solidity
Ascoli deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Ternana's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Ascoli field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Ternana's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Ascoli start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Ternana averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: A. Sottil
Substitutes
Coach: C. Lucarelli
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Ascoli have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Ternana show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Ascoli
Ternana
Ascoli vs Ternana Head to Head Results
Ascoli and Ternana have met 13 times — Ascoli won 8, Ternana won 4, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Ascoli leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 32 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.46 per match (18 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (46%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (46%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2022.
8
Ascoli
1
Drawn
4
Ternana
Recent Meetings (13)
API data: 25 Apr 2026