Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
100%
Games with 3+ goals
100%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Max | 2.97 | 3.10 | 2.74 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 32.8% | 31.7% | 35.5% |
| Public market | 35.2% | 29.5% | 35.2% |
| Δ | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
Palermo vs Cagliari — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Palermo
Away Record: Cagliari
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Palermo defeated Cagliari 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by M. Brunori 37′ (pen.), J. Segre 53′, L. Pavoletti 90′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Palermo had 36% possession while Cagliari held 64%. Palermo had 13 shots (7 on target) compared to 10 (4 on target) for Cagliari. Palermo made 5 substitutions, Cagliari made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Palermo and Cagliari — 3 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: L. Štulac
assist: G. Pereiro
Match Statistics
Palermo had 36% possession against Cagliari's 64%. Palermo registered 13 shots (7 on target) while Cagliari managed 10 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 9–2. Fouls committed: 8–19.
Lineups
Palermo lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under E. Corini, while Cagliari deployed a 4-3-1-2 under F. Liverani.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Palermo is 6.71, compared to 6.62 for Cagliari. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Palermo's highest-rated starter is J. Segre (6.88), while Cagliari's best-rated player is A. Obert (6.87).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Palermo have contributed 6 goals and 4 assists this season, led by J. Segre (4G). Cagliari's starters account for 1 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by L. Pavoletti (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Palermo deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Cagliari's 4-man backline averaging 6.73. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Palermo field 5 midfielders averaging 6.75, versus Cagliari's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Palermo start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.62, compared to 2 for Cagliari averaging 6.40. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 80% for Palermo and 71% for Cagliari. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Palermo's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 6 for Cagliari. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Palermo's starting XI is 28.8 (youngest: C. Gomes (25), oldest: L. Štulac (31)), while Cagliari average 28.8 (youngest: A. Obert (23), oldest: L. Pavoletti (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Palermo's starters average 24 league appearances each, versus 20 for Cagliari. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: E. Corini
Substitutes
Coach: F. Liverani
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Palermo have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Cagliari show 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.
Palermo
Cagliari
Palermo vs Cagliari Head to Head Results
Palermo and Cagliari have met 12 times — Palermo won 3, Cagliari won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Cagliari leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 35 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.92 per match (17 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (75%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Cagliari are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–0 in 2015.
3
Palermo
3
Drawn
6
Cagliari
Recent Meetings (12)
API data: 25 Apr 2026