30 April 2023 at 14:15

21
Full Time
Referee: F. La Penna

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cagliari2wins
1draws4 meetings
Ternana1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Cagliari.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.8%Draw 27.2%Away 20.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.604.75
Max1.773.755.03
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Cagliari · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.8%25.9%19.3%
Public market53.9%26.2%19.9%

Cagliari vs Ternana — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Cagliari (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CagliariHalf-time:11Ternana
15Shots10
7Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
30/04/23Cagliari2–1Ternana1.76/3.67/4.89
07/12/22Ternana1–0Cagliari2.52/3.11/2.91
12/09/15Ternana1–1Cagliari3.88/3.18/2.04
23/01/16Cagliari1–0Ternana1.52/3.91/7.01

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cagliari

W 114D 98L 66
Over 2.549
Goals scored399

Away Record: Ternana

W 208D 231L 247
Over 2.544
Goals scored804

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Ternana 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by A. Deiola 4′, A. Partipilo 12′, G. Zappa 60′. 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Cagliari had 58% possession while Ternana held 42%. Cagliari had 17 shots (5 on target) compared to 8 (3 on target) for Ternana. Cagliari made 5 substitutions, Ternana made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Cagliari and Ternana — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Cagliari
Ternana
Kick Off
A. Deiola

assist: N. Nández

4′
12′
A. Partipilo

assist: M. Coulibaly

Half Time
N. LellaM. Rog
46′
A. ObertG. Altare
46′
L. PavolettiZito Luvumbo
46′
A. Di PardoA. Barreca
46′
46′
M. CoulibalyF. Cassata
G. ZappaE. Goldaniga
69′
71′
L. BogdanC. Falletti
71′
A. PalumboG. Capanni
79′
L. GhiringhelliM. Defendi
80′
A. PartipiloA. Donnarumma
Full Time

Match Statistics

Cagliari had 58% possession against Ternana's 42%. Cagliari registered 17 shots (5 on target) while Ternana managed 8 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–5. Fouls committed: 15–16.

5Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal4
17Total Shots8
7Blocked Shots1
14Shots insidebox2
3Shots outsidebox6
15Fouls16
5Corner Kicks5
1Offsides2
58%Ball Possession42%
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
435Total passes301
348Passes accurate216
80%Passes %72%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Cagliari lined up in a 4-3-2-1 formation under C. Ranieri, while Ternana deployed a 3-5-2 under C. Lucarelli.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Cagliari is 6.58, compared to — for Ternana. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Cagliari's highest-rated starter is A. Obert (6.87), while Ternana's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Cagliari have contributed 1 goals and 8 assists this season, led by L. Pavoletti (1G). Ternana's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Cagliari deploy 4 defenders rated 6.60 on average, against Ternana's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Cagliari field 5 midfielders averaging 6.55, versus Ternana's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Cagliari start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Ternana averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 77% for Cagliari and —% for Ternana. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Cagliari's starters have collected 14 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Ternana. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Cagliari's starting XI is 28.3 (youngest: A. Obert (23), oldest: L. Pavoletti (37)), while Ternana average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Cagliari's starters average 15 league appearances each, versus 0 for Ternana. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Cagliari4-3-2-13-5-2Ternana
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Radunov.99Pardo4Dossena33Obert28Zappa8Nández29Makoumb.14Deiola23Lella30Pavolet.9Lapadula1Iannari.23Diakité26Bogdan13Mantova.24Ghiring.2Couliba.34Agazzi5Palumbo91Corrado21Partipi.17Favilli

Substitutes

Coach: C. Ranieri

Substitutes

Coach: C. Lucarelli

CagliariPosition StrengthTernana
6.58
Avg Rating
6.60Defender (4 v 3)
0G 5A0G 0A
6.55Midfielder (5 v 5)
1G 3A0G 0A
Cagliari4-3-2-1
1GoalkeeperB. Radunović
99DefenderA. Di Pardo6.3
4DefenderA. Dossena6.71A
33DefenderA. Obert6.91A
28DefenderG. Zappa6.63A
8MidfielderN. Nández
29MidfielderA. Makoumbou
14MidfielderA. Deiola6.72A
23MidfielderN. Lella
30MidfielderL. Pavoletti6.41G1A
9ForwardG. Lapadula
Ternana3-5-2
1GoalkeeperA. Iannarilli
23DefenderS. Diakité
26DefenderL. Bogdan
13DefenderV. Mantovani
24MidfielderL. Ghiringhelli
2MidfielderM. Coulibaly
34MidfielderD. Agazzi
5MidfielderA. Palumbo
91MidfielderN. Corrado
21ForwardA. Partipilo
17ForwardA. Favilli

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Cagliari have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Ternana show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Cagliari

LWLLLL

Ternana

WDLDDL

Cagliari vs Ternana Head to Head Results

Cagliari and Ternana have met 1 times — Cagliari won 0, Ternana won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Ternana leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 1 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (0 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–0 in 2022.

0

Cagliari

0

Drawn

1

Ternana

Goals: 0Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

7 Dec 2022Ternana1 – 0Cagliari
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026