6 May 2023 at 14:15

21
Full Time
S

Spal

Referee: M. Fabbri

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Palermo1wins
1draws2 meetings
Spal0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.2%Draw 28.0%Away 22.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.853.504.34
Max1.913.654.50
Over 2.5: 53.2%Under 2.5: 50.5%
Market favourite:Palermo · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.9%26.7%22.4%
Public market51.6%27.3%21.2%
Δ0.6%0.6%1.2%

Palermo vs Spal — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PalermoHalf-time:20Spal
10Shots11
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
06/05/23Palermo2–1Spal1.88/3.58/4.42
11/12/22Spal1–1Palermo2.41/3.08/3.18

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Palermo

W 166D 133L 91
Over 2.547
Goals scored562

Away Record: Spal

W 53D 55L 48
Over 2.544
Goals scored197

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Spal 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by B. Meccariello 29′ (o.g.), M. Brunori 35′, M. Varnier 66′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Palermo had 38% possession while Spal held 62%. Palermo had 10 shots (5 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Spal. Palermo made 5 substitutions, Spal made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Palermo and Spal — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Palermo
Spal
Kick Off
B. Meccariello

Own Goal

29′
Half Time
46′
S. RabbiI. Fetfatzidis
46′
A. TripaldelliC. Dalle Mura
66′
M. Varnier

assist: I. Fetfatzidis

G. TutinoE. Soleri
68′
M. SalaG. Aurelio
68′
M. BrunoriL. Vido
76′
V. VerreJ. Broh
77′
77′
M. VarnierP. Peda
77′
F. MaistroF. Puletto
84′
N. RautiA. La Mantia
I. MarconiD. Bettella
86′
90+1′Filippo Puletto
Full Time

Match Statistics

Palermo had 38% possession against Spal's 62%. Palermo registered 10 shots (5 on target) while Spal managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–5. Fouls committed: 13–12.

5Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal8
10Total Shots11
2Blocked Shots0
8Shots insidebox8
2Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls12
5Corner Kicks5
2Offsides1
38%Ball Possession62%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
336Total passes555
260Passes accurate472
77%Passes %85%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Palermo lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under E. Corini, while Spal deployed a 4-3-1-2 under M. Oddo.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Palermo is 6.71, compared to — for Spal. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Palermo's highest-rated starter is J. Segre (6.88), while Spal's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Palermo have contributed 6 goals and 4 assists this season, led by J. Segre (4G). Spal's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Palermo deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Spal's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Palermo field 5 midfielders averaging 6.75, versus Spal's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Palermo start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.62, compared to 2 for Spal averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 80% for Palermo and —% for Spal. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Palermo's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Spal. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Palermo's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: C. Gomes (25), oldest: M. Brunori (31)), while Spal average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Palermo's starters average 24 league appearances each, versus 0 for Spal. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Palermo3-5-24-3-1-2Spal
GKDEFMIDFWD
22Pigliac.37Matějů18Nedelce.15Marconi25Buttaro8Segre5Gomes26Verre3Sala9Brunori7Tutino1Alfonso2Fiordal.13Varnier6Meccari.3Tripald.5Contili.20Prati37Maistro99Rabbi32Rauti9Moncini

Substitutes

Coach: E. Corini

Substitutes

Coach: M. Oddo

PalermoPosition StrengthSpal
6.71
Avg Rating
6.75Midfielder (5 v 4)
5G 3A0G 0A
6.62Forward (2 v 2)
1G 1A0G 0A
Palermo3-5-2
22GoalkeeperM. Pigliacelli
37DefenderA. Matějů
18DefenderI. Nedelcearu
15DefenderI. Marconi
25MidfielderA. Buttaro
8MidfielderJ. Segre6.94G3A
5MidfielderC. Gomes6.61G
26MidfielderV. Verre
3MidfielderM. Sala
9ForwardM. Brunori6.61G1A
7ForwardG. Tutino
Spal4-3-1-2
1GoalkeeperE. Alfonso
2DefenderA. Fiordaliso
13DefenderM. Varnier
6DefenderB. Meccariello
3DefenderA. Tripaldelli
5MidfielderN. Contiliano
20MidfielderM. Prati
37MidfielderF. Maistro
99MidfielderS. Rabbi
32ForwardN. Rauti
9ForwardG. Moncini

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Palermo have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Spal show 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 0 outings.

Palermo

WDWWDL

Spal

Palermo vs Spal Head to Head Results

Palermo and Spal have met 1 times — Palermo won 0, Spal won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (1 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–1 in 2022.

0

Palermo

1

Drawn

0

Spal

Goals: 1Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

11 Dec 2022Spal1 – 1Palermo
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026