5 May 2023 at 18:30

05
Full Time
Referee: G. Ayroldi

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Perugia1wins
1draws4 meetings
Cagliari2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Cagliari.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.4%Draw 32.1%Away 41.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.102.38
Max3.263.142.48
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.8%31.0%39.2%
Public market30.3%30.3%39.4%

Perugia vs Cagliari — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Cagliari (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PerugiaHalf-time:03Cagliari
19Shots12
4Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
05/05/23Perugia0–5Cagliari3.18/3.12/2.43
11/12/22Cagliari3–2Perugia1.86/3.41/4.50
27/10/15Perugia0–0Cagliari2.99/3.02/2.55
14/03/16Cagliari0–2Perugia1.68/3.52/5.66

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Perugia

W 148D 130L 120
Over 2.540
Goals scored479

Away Record: Cagliari

W 114D 98L 66
Over 2.549
Goals scored399

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Perugia 5:0. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by G. Lapadula 5′, Paulo Azzi 30′, M. Mancosu 45′, C. Kourfalidis 49′, G. Lapadula 87′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Perugia had 60% possession while Cagliari held 40%. Perugia had 19 shots (4 on target) compared to 12 (6 on target) for Cagliari. Perugia made 5 substitutions, Cagliari made 4. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Gianluca Lapadula 88′).

Match Events

Key match events between Perugia and Cagliari — 5 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Perugia
Cagliari
Kick Off
19′
N. NándezC. Kourfalidis
30′
Paulo Azzi

assist: M. Mancosu

Aleandro Rosi33′
J. FurlanS. Gori
40′
45′
M. Mancosu

assist: G. Lapadula

Half Time
A. RosiF. Sgarbi
46′
G. LuperiniS. Di Carmine
46′
49′
C. Kourfalidis

assist: N. Prelec

Tiago Casasola62′
65′
M. MancosuN. Viola
F. LisiD. Cancellieri
71′
M. OlivieriE. Ekong
72′
74′
Paulo AzziA. Barreca
74′
N. PrelecZito Luvumbo
VAR
88′Goal confirmed
Full Time

Match Statistics

Perugia had 60% possession against Cagliari's 40%. Perugia registered 19 shots (4 on target) while Cagliari managed 12 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 8–3. Fouls committed: 16–13.

4Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal6
19Total Shots12
6Blocked Shots0
13Shots insidebox8
6Shots outsidebox4
16Fouls13
8Corner Kicks3
0Offsides1
60%Ball Possession40%
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
434Total passes302
338Passes accurate211
78%Passes %70%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Perugia lined up in a 3-5-1-1 formation under F. Castori, while Cagliari deployed a 5-3-2 under C. Ranieri.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Perugia is —, compared to 6.64 for Cagliari. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Perugia's highest-rated starter is —, while Cagliari's best-rated player is A. Deiola (6.70).

Defensive Solidity

Perugia deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Cagliari's 5-man backline averaging 6.64. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Perugia field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Cagliari's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Perugia start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Cagliari averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Perugia and 83% for Cagliari. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Perugia's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 5 for Cagliari. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Perugia's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Cagliari average 27.3 (youngest: N. Prelec (24), oldest: A. Deiola (30)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Perugia's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 14 for Cagliari. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Perugia3-5-1-15-3-2Cagliari
GKDEFMIDFWD
12Furlan2Rosi21Curado90Struna24Casasola4Iannoni25Santoro28Kouan23Lisi13Luperini11Olivieri1Radunov.28Zappa3Goldani.14Deiola15Altare37Azzi8Nández29Makoumb.5Mancosu20Prelec9Lapadula

Substitutes

Coach: F. Castori

Substitutes

Coach: C. Ranieri

PerugiaPosition StrengthCagliari
Avg Rating
6.64
Defender (3 v 5)6.64
0G 0A0G 5A
Perugia3-5-1-1
12GoalkeeperJ. Furlan
2DefenderA. Rosi
21DefenderM. Curado
90DefenderA. Struna
24MidfielderT. Casasola
4MidfielderE. Iannoni
25MidfielderS. Santoro
28MidfielderC. Kouan
23MidfielderF. Lisi
13ForwardG. Luperini
11ForwardM. Olivieri
Cagliari5-3-2
1GoalkeeperB. Radunović
28DefenderG. Zappa6.63A
3DefenderE. Goldaniga
14DefenderA. Deiola6.72A
15DefenderG. Altare
37DefenderPaulo Azzi
8MidfielderN. Nández
29MidfielderA. Makoumbou
5MidfielderM. Mancosu
20ForwardN. Prelec
9ForwardG. Lapadula

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Perugia have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats. Cagliari show 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Perugia

LDDWDD

Cagliari

LWLLLL

Perugia vs Cagliari Head to Head Results

Perugia and Cagliari have met 2 times — Perugia won 0, Cagliari won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Cagliari leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 5.00 per match (4 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2022.

0

Perugia

0

Drawn

2

Cagliari

Goals: 4Goals: 6

Recent Meetings (2)

11 Dec 2022Cagliari3 – 2Perugia
5 Aug 2022Cagliari3 – 2Perugia
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026