6 May 2023 at 12:00

01
Full Time
Referee: M. Gualtieri

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ternana0wins
2draws4 meetings
Sudtirol2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Sudtirol.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.9%Draw 30.1%Away 24.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.043.204.00
Max2.053.454.03
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Ternana · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.7%28.2%24.1%
Public market46.4%29.8%23.8%
Δ1.2%1.6%0.3%

Ternana vs Sudtirol — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Sudtirol
Result vs. Market: Ternana (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TernanaHalf-time:01Sudtirol
12Shots17
1Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/05/24Sudtirol4–3Ternana2.22/3.15/3.48
23/09/23Ternana1–1Sudtirol2.15/3.17/3.51
06/05/23Ternana0–1Sudtirol2.04/3.33/4.02
11/12/22Sudtirol0–0Ternana2.63/3.08/2.89

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ternana

W 208D 231L 247
Over 2.544
Goals scored804

Away Record: Sudtirol

W 46D 53L 49
Over 2.543
Goals scored170

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Sudtirol defeated Ternana 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by M. Curto 42′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Ternana had 54% possession while Sudtirol held 46%. Ternana had 12 shots (1 on target) compared to 17 (3 on target) for Sudtirol. Ternana made 5 substitutions, Sudtirol made 3. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Gabriel Lunetta 90′).

Match Events

Key match events between Ternana and Sudtirol — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Ternana
Sudtirol
Kick Off
Luca Ghiringhelli34′
Frederik Sørensen45+1′
Half Time
L. GhiringhelliM. Defendi
46′
57′
D. CasiraghiM. Rover
F. CassataC. Falletti
59′
D. AgazziG. Capanni
65′
68′
F. De ColG. Lunetta
68′
S. MazzocchiL. Fiordilino
V. MantovaniM. Capuano
73′
A. PartipiloA. Donnarumma
73′
VAR
90+5′Goal cancelled
Full Time

Match Statistics

Ternana had 54% possession against Sudtirol's 46%. Ternana registered 12 shots (1 on target) while Sudtirol managed 17 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–8. Fouls committed: 15–10.

1Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal9
12Total Shots17
7Blocked Shots5
4Shots insidebox9
8Shots outsidebox8
15Fouls10
5Corner Kicks8
0Offsides1
54%Ball Possession46%
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
409Total passes352
333Passes accurate260
81%Passes %74%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Ternana lined up in a 4-3-2-1 formation under C. Lucarelli, while Sudtirol deployed a 4-4-2 under P. Bisoli.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Ternana is —, compared to 6.76 for Sudtirol. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Ternana's highest-rated starter is —, while Sudtirol's best-rated player is D. Casiraghi (7.00).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Ternana have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Sudtirol's starters account for 8 goals and 9 assists, spearheaded by D. Casiraghi (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Ternana deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Sudtirol's 4-man backline averaging 6.57. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Ternana field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Sudtirol's 4 rated 6.84. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Ternana start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Sudtirol averaging 6.61. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Ternana and 61% for Sudtirol. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Ternana's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 6 for Sudtirol. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Ternana's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Sudtirol average 34.8 (youngest: F. Tait (32), oldest: A. Masiello (39)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Ternana's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 21 for Sudtirol. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Ternana4-3-2-14-4-2Sudtirol
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Iannari.24Ghiring.4Sørensen13Mantova.91Corrado34Agazzi14Tacchio29Cassata21Partipi.5Palumbo17Favilli1Poluzzi4Curto19Zaro55Masiello3Celli26Col21Tait16Belardi.17Casirag.9Mazzocc.90Odogwu

Substitutes

Coach: C. Lucarelli

Substitutes

Coach: P. Bisoli

TernanaPosition StrengthSudtirol
Avg Rating
6.76
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.93
0G 0A0G 0A
Defender (4 v 4)6.57
0G 0A0G 0A
Midfielder (5 v 4)6.84
0G 0A5G 7A
Forward (1 v 2)6.61
0G 0A3G 2A
Ternana4-3-2-1
1GoalkeeperA. Iannarilli
24DefenderL. Ghiringhelli
4DefenderF. Sørensen
13DefenderV. Mantovani
91DefenderN. Corrado
34MidfielderD. Agazzi
14MidfielderF. Di Tacchio
29MidfielderF. Cassata
21MidfielderA. Partipilo
5MidfielderA. Palumbo
17ForwardA. Favilli
Sudtirol4-4-2
1GoalkeeperG. Poluzzi6.9
4DefenderM. Curto
19DefenderG. Zaro
55DefenderA. Masiello6.6
3DefenderA. Celli
26MidfielderF. De Col
21MidfielderF. Tait6.71G
16MidfielderL. Belardinelli
17MidfielderD. Casiraghi7.04G7A
9ForwardS. Mazzocchi
90ForwardR. Odogwu6.63G2A

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Ternana have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Sudtirol show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Ternana

WDLDDL

Sudtirol

LDDLLD

Ternana vs Sudtirol Head to Head Results

Ternana and Sudtirol have met 5 times — Ternana won 0, Sudtirol won 2, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Sudtirol leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.80 per match (6 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Sudtirol are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2024.

0

Ternana

3

Drawn

2

Sudtirol

Goals: 6Goals: 8

Recent Meetings (5)

1 May 2024Sudtirol4 – 3Ternana
23 Sept 2023Ternana1 – 1Sudtirol
11 Dec 2022Sudtirol0 – 0Ternana
14 Apr 2019Ternana1 – 1Sudtirol
12 Dec 2018Sudtirol2 – 1Ternana
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026