13 May 2023 at 12:00

11
Full Time
Referee: M. Serra

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Sudtirol2wins
2draws6 meetings
Cittadella2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate Cittadella.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.5%Draw 35.0%Away 34.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.892.702.86
Max2.903.022.90
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.7%32.2%34.1%
Public market32.5%34.9%32.5%
Δ1.2%2.7%1.5%

Sudtirol vs Cittadella — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Draw (35%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SudtirolHalf-time:00Cittadella
9Shots11
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
09/03/25Cittadella1–5Sudtirol2.67/2.85/2.97
26/12/24Sudtirol1–2Cittadella2.22/2.94/3.64
20/04/24Sudtirol0–0Cittadella2.61/2.80/3.11
25/11/23Cittadella2–1Sudtirol1.96/3.11/4.18
13/05/23Sudtirol1–1Cittadella2.90/2.86/2.88
18/12/22Cittadella0–2Sudtirol2.02/3.05/4.27

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Sudtirol

W 46D 53L 49
Over 2.543
Goals scored170

Away Record: Cittadella

W 229D 227L 262
Over 2.543
Goals scored841

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Sudtirol and Cittadella drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by M. Antonucci 47′, R. Odogwu 69′. 9 yellow cards were shown. Sudtirol had 50% possession while Cittadella held 50%. Sudtirol had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (2 on target) for Cittadella. Sudtirol made 5 substitutions, Cittadella made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Tommaso Maistrello 90′).

Match Events

Key match events between Sudtirol and Cittadella — 2 goals and 9 cards recorded during the match.

Sudtirol
Cittadella
Kick Off
Mirko Carretta16′
24′Nicola Pavan
Half Time
S. MazzocchiL. Fiordilino
46′
A. CelliS. Davì
46′
M. CurtoF. De Col
46′
47′
M. Antonucci

assist: G. Ambrosino

M. CarrettaJ. Larrivey
60′
65′Romano Perticone
65′
G. AmbrosinoT. Maistrello
R. Odogwu

assist: M. Rover

69′
71′
A. MagrassiI. Lores
71′
G. CrociataV. Mastrantonio
M. RoverG. Lunetta
79′
Gabriel Lunetta80′
81′Alessandro Salvi
87′
M. AntonucciG. Carriero
VAR
90+4′Penalty cancelled
Full Time

Match Statistics

Sudtirol had 50% possession against Cittadella's 50%. Sudtirol registered 9 shots (4 on target) while Cittadella managed 11 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 3–2. Fouls committed: 18–14.

4Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal3
9Total Shots11
1Blocked Shots6
7Shots insidebox3
2Shots outsidebox8
18Fouls14
3Corner Kicks2
1Offsides2
50%Ball Possession50%
5Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
404Total passes414
305Passes accurate312
75%Passes %75%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Sudtirol lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under P. Bisoli, while Cittadella deployed a 4-3-1-2 under E. Gorini.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Sudtirol is 6.70, compared to — for Cittadella. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Sudtirol's highest-rated starter is G. Poluzzi (6.93), while Cittadella's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Sudtirol have contributed 4 goals and 2 assists this season, led by R. Odogwu (3G). Cittadella's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Sudtirol deploy 4 defenders rated 6.57 on average, against Cittadella's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Sudtirol field 4 midfielders averaging 6.68, versus Cittadella's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Sudtirol start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.61, compared to 2 for Cittadella averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 59% for Sudtirol and —% for Cittadella. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Sudtirol's starters have collected 5 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Cittadella. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Sudtirol's starting XI is 35.5 (youngest: F. Tait (32), oldest: A. Masiello (39)), while Cittadella average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Sudtirol's starters average 19 league appearances each, versus 0 for Cittadella. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Sudtirol4-4-24-3-1-2Cittadella
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Poluzzi4Curto19Zaro55Masiello3Celli10Carretta16Belardi.21Tait18Rover9Mazzocc.90Odogwu36Kastrati14Salvi2Pertico.26Pavan98Giraudo16Vita23Branca21Crociata10Antonuc.99Magrassi70Ambrosi.

Substitutes

Coach: P. Bisoli

Substitutes

Coach: E. Gorini

SudtirolPosition StrengthCittadella
6.70
Avg Rating
6.93Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.57Defender (4 v 4)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.68Midfielder (4 v 4)
1G 0A0G 0A
6.61Forward (2 v 2)
3G 2A0G 0A
Sudtirol4-4-2
1GoalkeeperG. Poluzzi6.9
4DefenderM. Curto
19DefenderG. Zaro
55DefenderA. Masiello6.6
3DefenderA. Celli
10MidfielderM. Carretta
16MidfielderL. Belardinelli
21MidfielderF. Tait6.71G
18MidfielderM. Rover
9ForwardS. Mazzocchi
90ForwardR. Odogwu6.63G2A
Cittadella4-3-1-2
36GoalkeeperE. Kastrati
14DefenderA. Salvi
2DefenderR. Perticone
26DefenderN. Pavan
98DefenderF. Giraudo
16MidfielderA. Vita
23MidfielderS. Branca
21MidfielderG. Crociata
10MidfielderM. Antonucci
99ForwardA. Magrassi
70ForwardG. Ambrosino

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Sudtirol have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Cittadella show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Sudtirol

LDDLLD

Cittadella

WLLWLW
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026