Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.8
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
67%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Parma.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Max | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.63 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 45.2% | 28.0% | 26.8% |
| Public market | 45.5% | 27.3% | 27.3% |
Parma vs Palermo — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Parma
Away Record: Palermo
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Parma and Palermo drew 3:3. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by M. Brunori 3′, M. Brunori 18′, N. Estévez 51′, J. Segre 85′, V. Mihăilă 90′, G. Charpentier 90′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Parma had 70% possession while Palermo held 30%. Parma had 24 shots (7 on target) compared to 8 (3 on target) for Palermo. Parma made 5 substitutions, Palermo made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Parma and Palermo — 6 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Coulibaly
assist: F. Di Francesco
assist: A. Bonny
assist: A. Buttaro
assist: G. Charpentier
assist: Adrián Bernabé
Match Statistics
Parma had 70% possession against Palermo's 30%. Parma registered 24 shots (7 on target) while Palermo managed 8 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 10–1. Fouls committed: 13–17.
Lineups
Parma lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under F. Pecchia, while Palermo deployed a 4-2-3-1 under E. Corini.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Parma is 6.80, compared to 6.71 for Palermo. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Parma's highest-rated starter is Adrián Bernabé (7.05), while Palermo's best-rated player is J. Segre (6.88).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Parma have contributed 5 goals and 1 assists this season, led by Adrián Bernabé (3G). Palermo's starters account for 6 goals and 4 assists, spearheaded by J. Segre (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Parma deploy 4 defenders rated 6.73 on average, against Palermo's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Parma field 5 midfielders averaging 6.82, versus Palermo's 5 rated 6.75. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Parma start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Palermo averaging 6.62. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 79% for Parma and 80% for Palermo. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Parma's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 7 for Palermo. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Parma's starting XI is 26.8 (youngest: B. Balogh (23), oldest: Hernani (31)), while Palermo average 28.8 (youngest: C. Gomes (25), oldest: F. Di Francesco (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Parma's starters average 19 league appearances each, versus 24 for Palermo. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: F. Pecchia
Substitutes
Coach: E. Corini
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Parma have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Parma
Palermo
Parma vs Palermo Head to Head Results
Parma and Palermo have met 14 times — Parma won 7, Palermo won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Parma leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.43 per match (19 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2018.
7
Parma
3
Drawn
4
Palermo
Recent Meetings (14)
API data: 25 Apr 2026