Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.8
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Max | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.46 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 42.3% | 29.6% | 28.1% |
| Public market | 42.3% | 28.8% | 28.8% |
Pisa vs Spezia — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/0807/08 | Pisa | 1–0 | Spezia | 1.62/3.52/4.60 |
| 09/03/2524/25 | Spezia | 3–2 | Pisa | 1.92/3.28/4.19 |
| 17/08/2424/25 | Pisa | 2–2 | Spezia | 2.54/3.09/2.90 |
| 27/01/2423/24 | Pisa | 2–3 | Spezia | 2.22/3.28/3.32 |
| 08/10/2323/24 | Spezia | 0–0 | Pisa | 1.87/3.34/4.60 |
| 29/06/2019/20 | Spezia | 1–2 | Pisa | 1.88/3.39/4.38 |
| 09/11/1919/20 | Pisa | 3–2 | Spezia | 2.59/3.08/2.90 |
| 24/12/1616/17 | Pisa | 0–0 | Spezia | 3.52/2.85/2.38 |
| 13/05/1716/17 | Spezia | 0–0 | Pisa | 1.39/4.25/9.27 |
| 12/01/0807/08 | Spezia | 1–4 | Pisa | 2.86/2.87/2.44 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Pisa
Away Record: Spezia
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Spezia defeated Pisa 3:2. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by R. Kouda 20′, E. Torregrossa 33′ (pen.), D. Verde 36′, D. Verde 45′ (pen.), N. Bonfanti 76′. 9 yellow cards were shown. Pisa had 66% possession while Spezia held 34%. Pisa had 27 shots (12 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Spezia. Pisa made 5 substitutions, Spezia made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Aleš Matějů 43′).
Match Events
Key match events between Pisa and Spezia — 5 goals and 9 cards recorded during the match.
assist: L. Vignali
Penalty
assist: D. Falcinelli
Penalty
assist: M. D'Alessandro
Match Statistics
Pisa had 66% possession against Spezia's 34%. Pisa registered 27 shots (12 on target) while Spezia managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 14–0. Fouls committed: 16–14.
Lineups
Pisa lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under A. Aquilani, while Spezia deployed a 3-4-3 under L. D'Angelo.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Pisa is 6.56, compared to 6.77 for Spezia. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Pisa's highest-rated starter is M. Marin (6.73), while Spezia's best-rated player is S. Esposito (7.44).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Pisa have contributed 3 goals and 0 assists this season, led by A. Caracciolo (2G). Spezia's starters account for 3 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by S. Esposito (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Pisa deploy 4 defenders rated 6.53 on average, against Spezia's 3-man backline averaging 6.83. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Pisa field 5 midfielders averaging 6.73, versus Spezia's 4 rated 6.82. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Pisa start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Spezia averaging 6.64. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 78% for Pisa and 76% for Spezia. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Pisa's starters have collected 24 yellow cards this season, compared to 30 for Spezia. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Pisa's starting XI is 28.5 (youngest: Tomás Esteves (23), oldest: Nícolas (37)), while Spezia average 27.0 (youngest: R. Kouda (23), oldest: A. Matějů (29)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Pisa's starters average 19 league appearances each, versus 19 for Spezia. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: A. Aquilani
Substitutes
Coach: L. D'Angelo
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Pisa have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Spezia show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Pisa
Spezia
API data: 25 Apr 2026