27 April 2024 at 12:00

10
Full Time
Referee: D. Minelli

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena3wins
4draws8 meetings
Sudtirol1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.4

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.4%Draw 30.7%Away 22.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.853.104.20
Max1.913.404.75
Over 2.5: 38.5%Under 2.5: 67.6%
Market favourite:Modena · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.5%28.8%20.7%
Public market51.7%28.1%20.1%
Δ1.2%0.7%0.5%

Modena vs Sudtirol — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Modena
Result vs. Market: Modena (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:00Sudtirol
4Shots6
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/04/26Sudtirol1–1Modena3.10/3.10/2.32
23/11/25Modena0–0Sudtirol1.62/3.50/5.50
29/12/24Modena0–0Sudtirol1.94/3.20/4.30
17/08/24Sudtirol2–1Modena2.80/3.02/2.68
27/04/24Modena1–0Sudtirol1.87/3.25/4.50
26/09/23Sudtirol0–0Modena2.94/2.84/2.68
19/05/23Modena2–1Sudtirol2.60/3.13/2.95
26/12/22Sudtirol0–2Modena2.29/3.14/3.31

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 225D 234L 230
Over 2.542
Goals scored819

Away Record: Sudtirol

W 46D 53L 49
Over 2.543
Goals scored170

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Modena defeated Sudtirol 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by G. Zaro 67′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Modena had 34% possession while Sudtirol held 66%. Modena had 3 shots (2 on target) compared to 7 (3 on target) for Sudtirol. Modena made 4 substitutions, Sudtirol made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Modena and Sudtirol — 1 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Modena
Sudtirol
Kick Off
Half Time
L. StrizzoloF. Abiuso
46′
61′
S. DavìA. Cagnano
61′
S. MerkajR. Odogwu
N. CorradoC. Cauz
62′
E. GliozziK. Bozhanaj
62′
G. Zaro

assist: T. Battistella

67′
74′
F. TaitN. Rauti
74′
D. CasiraghiM. Rover
A. PalumboS. Oukhadda
80′
84′
A. MallamoR. Ciervo
Full Time

Match Statistics

Modena had 34% possession against Sudtirol's 66%. Modena registered 3 shots (2 on target) while Sudtirol managed 7 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–4. Fouls committed: 14–16.

2Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal2
3Total Shots7
0Blocked Shots2
1Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox1
14Fouls16
5Corner Kicks4
0Offsides0
34%Ball Possession66%
1Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
287Total passes588
207Passes accurate502
72%Passes %85%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Modena lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under P. Bisoli, while Sudtirol deployed a 3-4-2-1 under F. Valente.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Modena is 6.81, compared to 6.69 for Sudtirol. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Modena's highest-rated starter is S. Santoro (7.16), while Sudtirol's best-rated player is S. Molina (7.18).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Modena have contributed 13 goals and 11 assists this season, led by E. Gliozzi (11G). Sudtirol's starters account for 14 goals and 14 assists, spearheaded by S. Merkaj (9G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Modena deploy 4 defenders rated 6.71 on average, against Sudtirol's 3-man backline averaging 6.38. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Modena field 3 midfielders averaging 7.16, versus Sudtirol's 4 rated 6.82. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Modena start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.67, compared to 3 for Sudtirol averaging 6.67. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 80% for Modena and 63% for Sudtirol. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Modena's starters have collected 9 yellow cards this season, compared to 23 for Sudtirol. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Modena's starting XI is 29.8 (youngest: S. Santoro (26), oldest: A. Pergreffi (37)), while Sudtirol average 30.7 (youngest: A. Giorgini (23), oldest: A. Masiello (39)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Modena's starters average 19 league appearances each, versus 20 for Sudtirol. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Modena4-3-33-4-2-1Sudtirol
GKDEFMIDFWD
26Gagno6Magnino19Zaro4Pergref.29Cotali23Battist.8Santoro91Corrado5Palumbo9Gliozzi32Strizzo.1Poluzzi30Giorgini2Scaglia55Masiello79Molina4Arrigoni8Mallamo24Davì21Tait17Casirag.33Merkaj

Substitutes

Coach: P. Bisoli

Substitutes

Coach: F. Valente

ModenaPosition StrengthSudtirol
6.81
Avg Rating
6.69
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.93
0G 0A0G 0A
6.71Defender (4 v 3)6.38
0G 5A0G 0A
7.16Midfielder (3 v 4)6.82
2G 4A0G 6A
6.67Forward (3 v 3)6.67
11G 2A14G 8A
Modena4-3-3
26GoalkeeperR. Gagno
6DefenderL. Magnino6.63A
19DefenderG. Zaro
4DefenderA. Pergreffi
29DefenderM. Cotali6.82A
23MidfielderT. Battistella
8MidfielderS. Santoro7.22G4A
91MidfielderN. Corrado
5ForwardA. Palumbo
9ForwardE. Gliozzi6.711G2A
32ForwardL. Strizzolo
Sudtirol3-4-2-1
1GoalkeeperG. Poluzzi6.9
30DefenderA. Giorgini6.2
2DefenderF. Scaglia
55DefenderA. Masiello6.6
79MidfielderS. Molina7.24A
4MidfielderT. Arrigoni
8MidfielderA. Mallamo6.6
24MidfielderS. Davì6.72A
21ForwardF. Tait6.71G
17ForwardD. Casiraghi7.04G7A
33ForwardS. Merkaj6.39G1A

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Modena have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Sudtirol show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Modena

LDDLWW

Sudtirol

LDDLLD

Modena vs Sudtirol Head to Head Results

Modena and Sudtirol have met 2 times — Modena won 0, Sudtirol won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (1 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–1 in 2026.

0

Modena

2

Drawn

0

Sudtirol

Goals: 1Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (2)

11 Apr 2026Sudtirol1 – 1Modena
23 Nov 2025Modena0 – 0Sudtirol
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026