Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Palermo dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.73 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Max | 1.81 | 3.71 | 4.75 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 53.4% | 26.1% | 20.5% |
| Public market | 53.9% | 26.2% | 19.9% |
Palermo vs Reggiana — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Palermo
Away Record: Reggiana
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Reggiana defeated Palermo 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by M. Brunori 35′, M. Portanova 52′, P. Rozzio 66′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Palermo had 55% possession while Reggiana held 45%. Palermo had 17 shots (2 on target) compared to 11 (5 on target) for Reggiana. Palermo made 5 substitutions, Reggiana made 4. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Matteo Brunori 37′).
Match Events
Key match events between Palermo and Reggiana — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: F. Lucioni
Match Statistics
Palermo had 55% possession against Reggiana's 45%. Palermo registered 17 shots (2 on target) while Reggiana managed 11 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 7–7. Fouls committed: 14–13.
Lineups
Palermo lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under M. Mignani, while Reggiana deployed a 3-4-2-1 under A. Nesta.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Palermo is 6.70, compared to 6.69 for Reggiana. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Palermo's highest-rated starter is S. Diakité (6.86), while Reggiana's best-rated player is M. Portanova (6.95).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Palermo have contributed 3 goals and 1 assists this season, led by S. Diakité (1G). Reggiana's starters account for 9 goals and 1 assists, spearheaded by M. Portanova (7G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Palermo deploy 3 defenders rated 6.86 on average, against Reggiana's 3-man backline averaging 6.63. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Palermo field 5 midfielders averaging 6.62, versus Reggiana's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Palermo start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.62, compared to 3 for Reggiana averaging 6.76. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 78% for Palermo and 77% for Reggiana. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Palermo's starters have collected 8 yellow cards this season, compared to 12 for Reggiana. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Palermo's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: S. Diakité (25), oldest: F. Di Francesco (31)), while Reggiana average 28.8 (youngest: M. Portanova (25), oldest: P. Rozzio (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Palermo's starters average 17 league appearances each, versus 25 for Reggiana. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: M. Mignani
Substitutes
Coach: A. Nesta
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Palermo have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Reggiana show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Palermo
Reggiana
Palermo vs Reggiana Head to Head Results
Palermo and Reggiana have met 5 times — Palermo won 4, Reggiana won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Palermo leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 17 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.40 per match (11 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (80%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2022.
4
Palermo
0
Drawn
1
Reggiana
Recent Meetings (5)
API data: 25 Apr 2026