1 May 2024 at 13:00

43
Full Time
Referee: M. Monaldi

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Sudtirol2wins
2draws4 meetings
Ternana0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.0%Draw 31.8%Away 28.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.093.30
Max2.263.253.74
Over 2.5: 42.6%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Sudtirol · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.8%31.3%25.9%
Public market43.0%29.1%27.8%
Δ0.2%2.2%2.0%

Sudtirol vs Ternana — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Sudtirol
Result vs. Market: Sudtirol (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SudtirolHalf-time:12Ternana
21Shots9
8Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/05/24Sudtirol4–3Ternana2.22/3.15/3.48
23/09/23Ternana1–1Sudtirol2.15/3.17/3.51
06/05/23Ternana0–1Sudtirol2.04/3.33/4.02
11/12/22Sudtirol0–0Ternana2.63/3.08/2.89

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Sudtirol

W 46D 53L 49
Over 2.543
Goals scored170

Away Record: Ternana

W 208D 231L 247
Over 2.544
Goals scored804

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Sudtirol defeated Ternana 4:3. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by R. Odogwu 9′, G. Pereiro 23′, G. Luperini 33′, D. Casiraghi 51′, G. Luperini 67′, D. Casiraghi 75′ (pen.), H. El Kaouakibi 85′. 7 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Sudtirol had 67% possession while Ternana held 33%. Sudtirol had 21 shots (8 on target) compared to 9 (5 on target) for Ternana. Sudtirol made 3 substitutions, Ternana made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Salvatore Molina 45′), Penalty confirmed (Raphael Odogwu 73′).

Match Events

Key match events between Sudtirol and Ternana — 7 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.

Sudtirol
Ternana
Kick Off
R. Odogwu

assist: F. Tait

9′
23′
G. Pereiro

assist: T. Casasola

27′Gabriele Boloca
33′
G. Luperini

assist: T. Casasola

Jasmin Kurtić45+3′
Goal cancelled45′
VAR
Half Time
54′
K. de BoerC. Favasuli
57′Tommaso Vitali
F. TaitH. El Kaouakibi
59′
60′Gabriele Boloca
60′Gabriele Boloca
61′
A. RaimondoF. Sørensen
67′
G. Luperini

assist: T. Casasola

Penalty confirmed73′
VAR
75′
T. ArrigoniS. Merkaj
84′
S. DavìM. Rover
84′
88′
L. AmatucciF. Viviani
88′
L. LucchesiF. Carboni
88′
G. LuperiniF. Dionisi
Full Time

Match Statistics

Sudtirol had 67% possession against Ternana's 33%. Sudtirol registered 21 shots (8 on target) while Ternana managed 9 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 5–2. Fouls committed: 24–13.

8Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal3
21Total Shots9
8Blocked Shots1
15Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox2
24Fouls13
5Corner Kicks2
1Offsides0
67%Ball Possession33%
3Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
526Total passes257
475Passes accurate195
90%Passes %76%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Sudtirol lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under F. Valente, while Ternana deployed a 3-5-2 under R. Breda.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Sudtirol is 6.73, compared to — for Ternana. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Sudtirol's highest-rated starter is S. Molina (7.18), while Ternana's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Sudtirol have contributed 8 goals and 15 assists this season, led by D. Casiraghi (4G). Ternana's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Sudtirol deploy 3 defenders rated 6.38 on average, against Ternana's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Sudtirol field 4 midfielders averaging 6.95, versus Ternana's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Sudtirol start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.76, compared to 2 for Ternana averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 61% for Sudtirol and —% for Ternana. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Sudtirol's starters have collected 16 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Ternana. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Sudtirol's starting XI is 32.0 (youngest: A. Giorgini (23), oldest: A. Masiello (39)), while Ternana average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Sudtirol's starters average 20 league appearances each, versus 0 for Ternana. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Sudtirol3-4-2-13-5-2Ternana
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Poluzzi30Giorgini2Scaglia55Masiello79Molina4Arrigoni27Kurtič24Davì21Tait17Casirag.90Odogwu18Vitali5Boloca6Mura44Lucchesi15Casasola71Luperini72Amatucci8Boer28Distefa.10Pereiro9Raimondo

Substitutes

Coach: F. Valente

Substitutes

Coach: R. Breda

SudtirolPosition StrengthTernana
6.73
Avg Rating
6.93Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.38Defender (3 v 3)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.95Midfielder (4 v 5)
0G 6A0G 0A
6.76Forward (3 v 2)
8G 9A0G 0A
Sudtirol3-4-2-1
1GoalkeeperG. Poluzzi6.9
30DefenderA. Giorgini6.2
2DefenderF. Scaglia
55DefenderA. Masiello6.6
79MidfielderS. Molina7.24A
4MidfielderT. Arrigoni
27MidfielderJ. Kurtič
24MidfielderS. Davì6.72A
21ForwardF. Tait6.71G
17ForwardD. Casiraghi7.04G7A
90ForwardR. Odogwu6.63G2A
Ternana3-5-2
18GoalkeeperT. Vitali
5DefenderG. Boloca
6DefenderC. Dalle Mura
44DefenderL. Lucchesi
15MidfielderT. Casasola
71MidfielderG. Luperini
72MidfielderL. Amatucci
8MidfielderK. de Boer
28MidfielderF. Distefano
10ForwardG. Pereiro
9ForwardA. Raimondo

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Sudtirol have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Ternana show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Sudtirol

LDDLLD

Ternana

WDLDDL
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026