Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
30%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Cittadella.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.65 | 3.54 | 4.20 |
| Max | 1.83 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 52.4% | 27.1% | 20.5% |
| Public market | 51.9% | 25.9% | 22.2% |
| Δ | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% |
Cremonese vs Cittadella — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2524/25 | Cremonese | 2–2 | Cittadella | 1.41/4.52/8.11 |
| 15/12/2424/25 | Cittadella | 0–0 | Cremonese | 3.79/3.41/1.98 |
| 10/05/2423/24 | Cremonese | 3–0 | Cittadella | 1.76/3.68/4.54 |
| 27/10/2323/24 | Cittadella | 1–2 | Cremonese | 3.18/3.28/2.33 |
| 12/02/2221/22 | Cittadella | 0–2 | Cremonese | 2.71/3.02/2.75 |
| 12/09/2121/22 | Cremonese | 2–0 | Cittadella | 2.22/3.20/3.45 |
| 31/01/2120/21 | Cittadella | 1–1 | Cremonese | 1.94/3.21/4.42 |
| 27/09/2020/21 | Cremonese | 0–2 | Cittadella | 2.24/3.14/3.29 |
| 29/02/2019/20 | Cittadella | 0–0 | Cremonese | 1.97/3.29/4.08 |
| 06/10/1919/20 | Cremonese | 0–2 | Cittadella | 2.12/3.22/3.62 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Cremonese
Away Record: Cittadella
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Cremonese defeated Cittadella 3:0. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by M. Coda 17′ (pen.), M. Bianchetti 36′, D. Johnsen 88′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Cremonese had 60% possession while Cittadella held 40%. Cremonese had 13 shots (7 on target) compared to 13 (5 on target) for Cittadella. Cremonese made 5 substitutions, Cittadella made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Cristian Buonaiuto 51′), Penalty cancelled (Giacomo Quagliata 90′).
Match Events
Key match events between Cremonese and Cittadella — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: G. Quagliata
Match Statistics
Cremonese had 60% possession against Cittadella's 40%. Cremonese registered 13 shots (7 on target) while Cittadella managed 13 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 3–6. Fouls committed: 10–10.
Lineups
Cremonese lined up in a 3-5-1-1 formation under G. Stroppa, while Cittadella deployed a 3-5-2 under E. Gorini.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Cremonese is 6.80, compared to — for Cittadella. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Cremonese's highest-rated starter is M. Bianchetti (6.80), while Cittadella's best-rated player is —.
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Cremonese have contributed 1 goals and 2 assists this season, led by L. Zanimacchia (1G). Cittadella's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Cremonese deploy 3 defenders rated 6.80 on average, against Cittadella's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Cremonese field 5 midfielders averaging 6.80, versus Cittadella's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Cremonese start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Cittadella averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 82% for Cremonese and —% for Cittadella. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Cremonese's starters have collected 4 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Cittadella. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Cremonese's starting XI is 30.0 (youngest: G. Saro (25), oldest: M. Castagnetti (36)), while Cittadella average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Cremonese's starters average 8 league appearances each, versus 0 for Cittadella. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: G. Stroppa
Substitutes
Coach: E. Gorini
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Cremonese have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Cittadella show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Cremonese
Cittadella
Cremonese vs Cittadella Head to Head Results
Cremonese and Cittadella have met 13 times — Cremonese won 5, Cittadella won 2, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Cremonese leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (15 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (46%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (31%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Cremonese are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.
5
Cremonese
6
Drawn
2
Cittadella
Recent Meetings (13)
API data: 25 Apr 2026