Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Modena.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Max | 3.57 | 3.54 | 2.10 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 27.0% | 27.2% | 45.8% |
| Public market | 26.8% | 27.5% | 45.7% |
Lecco vs Modena — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Lecco
Away Record: Modena
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Modena defeated Lecco 3:2. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by L. Strizzolo 2′, A. Sersanti 22′, K. Bozhanaj 29′, L. Strizzolo 35′, N. Buso 59′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Lecco had 51% possession while Modena held 49%. Lecco had 15 shots (5 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Modena. Lecco made 5 substitutions, Modena made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Lecco and Modena — 5 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Palumbo
assist: T. Battistella
assist: G. Crociata
Match Statistics
Lecco had 51% possession against Modena's 49%. Lecco registered 15 shots (5 on target) while Modena managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 6–0. Fouls committed: 15–12.
Lineups
Lecco lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under A. Malgrati, while Modena deployed a 4-3-2-1 under P. Bisoli.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Lecco is —, compared to 6.70 for Modena. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Lecco's highest-rated starter is —, while Modena's best-rated player is S. Santoro (7.16).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Lecco have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Modena's starters account for 2 goals and 9 assists, spearheaded by S. Santoro (2G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Lecco deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Modena's 4-man backline averaging 6.80. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Lecco field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Modena's 5 rated 6.66. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Lecco start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Modena averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages —% for Lecco and 84% for Modena. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Lecco's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 10 for Modena. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Lecco's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Modena average 28.6 (youngest: K. Bozhanaj (24), oldest: A. Pergreffi (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Lecco's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 13 for Modena. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: A. Malgrati
Substitutes
Coach: P. Bisoli
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Lecco have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Modena show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Lecco
Modena
API data: 25 Apr 2026