13 May 2025 at 18:30

00
Full Time
Referee: G. Aureliano

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Mantova0wins
2draws4 meetings
Catanzaro2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Catanzaro.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.0%Draw 31.0%Away 26.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.073.203.70
Max2.103.263.82
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 48.1%
Market favourite:Mantova · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.9%29.2%24.9%
Public market45.0%29.5%25.5%

Mantova vs Catanzaro — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Mantova (48%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MantovaHalf-time:00Catanzaro
20Shots6
4Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
14/02/26Catanzaro2–0Mantova1.86/3.50/3.70
29/10/25Mantova1–3Catanzaro2.45/3.25/2.75
13/05/25Mantova0–0Catanzaro2.08/3.23/3.76
23/11/24Catanzaro2–2Mantova1.86/3.43/4.30

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Mantova

W 92D 101L 89
Over 2.540
Goals scored321

Away Record: Catanzaro

W 54D 59L 80
Over 2.549
Goals scored227

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Mantova and Catanzaro drew 0:0. The match was played in Serie B 2024. 3 yellow cards were shown. Mantova had 69% possession while Catanzaro held 31%. Mantova had 20 shots (4 on target) compared to 6 (0 on target) for Catanzaro. Mantova made 5 substitutions, Catanzaro made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Mantova and Catanzaro — 0 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Mantova
Catanzaro
Kick Off
Half Time
59′Stefano Scognamillo
61′
T. BiasciF. Pittarello
61′
S. ScognamilloM. D'Alessandro
F. GaluppiniD. Bragantini
69′
D. MensahD. Wieser
69′
A. FioriA. Debenedetti
69′
69′
S. PontissoJ. Petriccione
L. MancusoM. Aramu
78′
83′
P. IemmelloA. La Mantia
83′
R. IlieM. Coulibaly
C. BaniS. Giordano
87′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Mantova had 69% possession against Catanzaro's 31%. Mantova registered 20 shots (4 on target) while Catanzaro managed 6 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 9–20.

4Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal5
20Total Shots6
9Blocked Shots1
9Shots insidebox2
11Shots outsidebox4
9Fouls20
5Corner Kicks3
1Offsides0
69%Ball Possession31%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves4
622Total passes279
587Passes accurate243
94%Passes %87%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Mantova lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under D. Possanzini, while Catanzaro deployed a 3-5-2 under F. Caserta.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Mantova is 6.77, compared to 6.92 for Catanzaro. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Mantova's highest-rated starter is M. Festa (7.01), while Catanzaro's best-rated player is S. Pontisso (7.28).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Mantova have contributed 15 goals and 10 assists this season, led by L. Mancuso (7G). Catanzaro's starters account for 22 goals and 17 assists, spearheaded by P. Iemmello (10G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Mantova deploy 4 defenders rated 6.70 on average, against Catanzaro's 3-man backline averaging 6.87. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Mantova field 5 midfielders averaging 6.81, versus Catanzaro's 5 rated 6.96. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Mantova start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.56, compared to 2 for Catanzaro averaging 6.82. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 81% for Mantova and 84% for Catanzaro. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Mantova's starters have collected 40 yellow cards this season, compared to 36 for Catanzaro. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Mantova's starting XI is 27.7 (youngest: N. Radaelli (22), oldest: D. Mensah (34)), while Catanzaro average 29.6 (youngest: T. Cassandro (25), oldest: N. Brighenti (36)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Mantova's starters average 23 league appearances each, versus 26 for Catanzaro. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Mantova4-2-3-13-5-2Catanzaro
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Festa17Radaelli13Brignani29Cella6Bani8Burrai21Trimboli14Galuppi.19Mancuso11Fiori7Mensah22Pigliac.23Brighen.4Antonini14Scognam.84Cassand.20Pontisso21Pompetti8Ilie3Quaglia.9Iemmello28Biasci

Substitutes

Coach: D. Possanzini

Substitutes

Coach: F. Caserta

MantovaPosition StrengthCatanzaro
6.77
Avg Rating
6.92
7.01Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.98
0G 0A0G 0A
6.70Defender (4 v 3)6.87
2G 4A4G 1A
6.81Midfielder (5 v 5)6.96
9G 5A8G 7A
6.56Forward (1 v 2)6.82
4G 1A10G 9A
Mantova4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperM. Festa7.0
17DefenderN. Radaelli6.64A
13DefenderF. Brignani
29DefenderS. Cella6.82G
6DefenderC. Bani6.7
8MidfielderS. Burrai
21MidfielderS. Trimboli7.05A
14MidfielderF. Galuppini6.9
19MidfielderL. Mancuso6.67G
11MidfielderA. Fiori6.82G
7ForwardD. Mensah6.64G1A
Catanzaro3-5-2
22GoalkeeperM. Pigliacelli7.0
23DefenderN. Brighenti6.81G
4DefenderMatias Antonini6.93G1A
14DefenderS. Scognamillo
84MidfielderT. Cassandro6.93G1A
20MidfielderS. Pontisso7.34G6A
21MidfielderM. Pompetti6.71G
8MidfielderR. Ilie
3MidfielderG. Quagliata
9ForwardP. Iemmello6.810G9A
28ForwardT. Biasci

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Mantova have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Catanzaro show 1 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Mantova

LWWLWD

Catanzaro

DDDDLW

Mantova vs Catanzaro Head to Head Results

Mantova and Catanzaro have met 2 times — Mantova won 0, Catanzaro won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Catanzaro leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (1 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2025.

0

Mantova

0

Drawn

2

Catanzaro

Goals: 1Goals: 5

Recent Meetings (2)

14 Feb 2026Catanzaro2 – 0Mantova
29 Oct 2025Mantova1 – 3Catanzaro
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026