1 May 2025 at 15:15

01
Full Time
Referee: I. Pezzuto

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cittadella4wins
4draws10 meetings
Brescia2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Cittadella.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.6%Draw 31.5%Away 38.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.753.142.55
Max2.873.202.61
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.2%30.3%36.5%
Public market34.0%29.3%36.7%
Δ0.9%1.1%0.2%

Cittadella vs Brescia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Brescia
Result vs. Market: Brescia (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CittadellaHalf-time:01Brescia
16Shots10
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/05/25Cittadella0–1Brescia2.81/3.17/2.58
24/08/24Brescia0–1Cittadella2.50/3.11/2.94
03/02/24Brescia2–0Cittadella2.43/2.96/3.21
04/11/23Cittadella3–2Brescia2.53/3.03/3.02
01/03/23Cittadella0–0Brescia2.13/3.21/3.90
08/10/22Brescia1–1Cittadella1.95/3.28/4.18
30/04/22Cittadella1–0Brescia4.21/3.34/1.93
19/12/21Brescia1–1Cittadella2.10/3.07/3.78
06/02/21Brescia3–3Cittadella3.40/3.12/2.30
04/10/20Cittadella3–0Brescia2.81/3.12/2.68

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cittadella

W 229D 227L 262
Over 2.543
Goals scored841

Away Record: Brescia

W 296D 270L 240
Over 2.545
Goals scored1044

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Brescia defeated Cittadella 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by G. Borrelli 32′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Cittadella had 57% possession while Brescia held 43%. Cittadella had 16 shots (2 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Brescia. Cittadella made 5 substitutions, Brescia made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Cittadella and Brescia — 1 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

Cittadella
Brescia
Kick Off
32′
G. Borrelli

assist: D. Bisoli

Half Time
S. TronchinF. Amatucci
46′
54′
M. BesaggioB. Bjarnason
R. PalmieriD. Voltan
62′
A. SalviE. Masciangelo
62′
Federico Casolari63′
O. OkwonkwoD. Diaw
67′
J. DesogusS. Rabbi
70′
76′
N. GalazziN. Corrado
76′
G. MonciniA. Jurič
86′Birkir Bjarnason
Simone Rabbi90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Cittadella had 57% possession against Brescia's 43%. Cittadella registered 16 shots (2 on target) while Brescia managed 10 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–2. Fouls committed: 24–17.

2Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal6
16Total Shots10
9Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox5
4Shots outsidebox5
24Fouls17
3Corner Kicks2
1Offsides2
57%Ball Possession43%
5Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
411Total passes331
322Passes accurate238
78%Passes %72%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Cittadella lined up in a 4-3-1-2 formation under A. Dal Canto, while Brescia deployed a 4-3-1-2 under R. Maran.

Defensive Solidity

Cittadella deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Brescia's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Cittadella field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Brescia's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Cittadella start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Brescia averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Cittadella4-3-1-24-3-1-2Brescia
GKDEFMIDFWD
36Kastrati2Salvi26Pavan13Caprado.24Carisso.17Tronchin5Casolari37Palmieri11Desogus31Okwonkwo7Pandolfi1Lezzeri.24Dickmann5Calvani28Adorni18Jallow25Bisoli6Verreth39Besaggio23Galazzi29Borrelli11Moncini

Substitutes

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Substitutes

Coach: R. Maran

CittadellaPosition StrengthBrescia
Cittadella4-3-1-2
36GoalkeeperE. Kastrati
2DefenderA. Salvi
26DefenderN. Pavan
13DefenderE. Capradossi
24DefenderL. Carissoni
17MidfielderS. Tronchin
5MidfielderF. Casolari
37MidfielderR. Palmieri
11MidfielderJ. Desogus
31ForwardO. Okwonkwo
7ForwardL. Pandolfi
Brescia4-3-1-2
1GoalkeeperL. Lezzerini
24DefenderL. Dickmann
5DefenderG. Calvani
28DefenderD. Adorni
18DefenderA. Jallow
25MidfielderD. Bisoli
6MidfielderM. Verreth
39MidfielderM. Besaggio
23MidfielderN. Galazzi
29ForwardG. Borrelli
11ForwardG. Moncini

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Cittadella have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Brescia show 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Cittadella

WLLWLW

Brescia

D

Cittadella vs Brescia Head to Head Results

Cittadella and Brescia have met 16 times — Cittadella won 6, Brescia won 3, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Cittadella leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 42 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.63 per match (21 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2021.

6

Cittadella

7

Drawn

3

Brescia

Goals: 21Goals: 21

Recent Meetings (16)

24 Aug 2024Brescia0 – 1Cittadella
3 Feb 2024Brescia2 – 0Cittadella
4 Nov 2023Cittadella3 – 2Brescia
1 Mar 2023Cittadella0 – 0Brescia
8 Oct 2022Brescia1 – 1Cittadella
30 Apr 2022Cittadella1 – 0Brescia
19 Dec 2021Brescia1 – 1Cittadella
13 May 2021Cittadella1 – 0Brescia
6 Feb 2021Brescia3 – 3Cittadella
4 Oct 2020Cittadella3 – 0Brescia
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026