Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Mantova.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.45 | 3.29 | 2.80 |
| Max | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 38.1% | 29.0% | 32.9% |
| Public market | 38.2% | 28.4% | 33.4% |
Mantova vs Cesena — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/0707/08 | Mantova | 4–1 | Cesena | 1.44/3.51/7.93 |
| 29/03/0807/08 | Cesena | 1–1 | Mantova | 2.00/2.89/3.90 |
| 17/03/2625/26 | Mantova | 3–0 | Cesena | 2.35/3.40/2.82 |
| 13/12/2525/26 | Cesena | 3–2 | Mantova | 1.71/3.50/4.75 |
| 25/03/0706/07 | Cesena | 1–1 | Mantova | 2.39/2.61/3.18 |
| 01/05/2524/25 | Mantova | 3–0 | Cesena | 2.48/3.29/2.85 |
| 29/09/2424/25 | Cesena | 4–2 | Mantova | 1.75/3.59/4.66 |
| 15/11/0909/10 | Mantova | 0–1 | Cesena | 2.43/2.81/3.01 |
| 13/04/1009/10 | Cesena | 3–1 | Mantova | 1.71/3.20/4.97 |
| 04/11/0606/07 | Mantova | 4–3 | Cesena | 2.17/2.70/3.54 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Mantova
Away Record: Cesena
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Mantova defeated Cesena 3:0. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by A. Fiori 19′, D. Bragantini 80′, A. Debenedetti 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Mantova had 64% possession while Cesena held 36%. Mantova had 21 shots (8 on target) compared to 10 (5 on target) for Cesena. Mantova made 5 substitutions, Cesena made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Antonino La Gumina 85′).
Match Events
Key match events between Mantova and Cesena — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: N. Radaelli
assist: A. Fiori
assist: T. Maggioni
Match Statistics
Mantova had 64% possession against Cesena's 36%. Mantova registered 21 shots (8 on target) while Cesena managed 10 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 4–5. Fouls committed: 12–19.
Lineups
Mantova lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under D. Possanzini, while Cesena deployed a 3-4-2-1 under M. Mignani.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Mantova is 6.77, compared to 6.71 for Cesena. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Mantova's highest-rated starter is M. Festa (7.01), while Cesena's best-rated player is E. Adamo (6.87).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Mantova have contributed 15 goals and 10 assists this season, led by L. Mancuso (7G). Cesena's starters account for 15 goals and 6 assists, spearheaded by C. Shpendi (10G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Mantova deploy 4 defenders rated 6.68 on average, against Cesena's 3-man backline averaging 6.74. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Mantova field 5 midfielders averaging 6.81, versus Cesena's 4 rated 6.76. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Mantova start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.56, compared to 3 for Cesena averaging 6.62. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 81% for Mantova and 82% for Cesena. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Mantova's starters have collected 33 yellow cards this season, compared to 29 for Cesena. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Mantova's starting XI is 27.9 (youngest: N. Radaelli (22), oldest: D. Mensah (34)), while Cesena average 25.7 (youngest: M. Francesconi (21), oldest: S. Bastoni (29)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Mantova's starters average 24 league appearances each, versus 25 for Cesena. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: D. Possanzini
Substitutes
Coach: M. Mignani
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Mantova have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Cesena show 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Mantova
Cesena
Mantova vs Cesena Head to Head Results
Mantova and Cesena have met 3 times — Mantova won 1, Cesena won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Cesena leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 11 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.67 per match (6 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.
1
Mantova
0
Drawn
2
Cesena
Recent Meetings (3)
API data: 25 Apr 2026