1 May 2025 at 13:00

23
Full Time
Referee: F. Cosso

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Reggiana dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena2wins
0draws5 meetings
Reggiana3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.4%Draw 32.1%Away 24.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.104.09
Max2.053.144.10
Over 2.5: 41.7%Under 2.5: 65.4%
Market favourite:Modena · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.4%30.3%23.3%
Public market46.9%30.2%22.9%

Modena vs Reggiana — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Reggiana
Result vs. Market: Modena (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:21Reggiana
8Shots14
1Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
28/10/25Reggiana1–0Modena4.20/3.30/1.86
01/05/25Modena2–3Reggiana2.02/3.12/4.09
14/12/24Reggiana0–1Modena2.84/2.97/2.70
01/05/24Reggiana1–0Modena2.99/2.64/2.88
02/12/23Modena2–1Reggiana1.89/3.51/4.13

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 225D 234L 230
Over 2.542
Goals scored819

Away Record: Reggiana

W 60D 69L 95
Over 2.540
Goals scored220

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Reggiana defeated Modena 3:2. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by M. Portanova 15′, P. Rozzio 30′ (o.g.), F. Bardi 43′ (o.g.), N. Girma 70′, C. Gondo 86′. 7 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Modena had 57% possession while Reggiana held 43%. Modena had 8 shots (1 on target) compared to 14 (5 on target) for Reggiana. Modena made 5 substitutions, Reggiana made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Modena and Reggiana — 5 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.

Modena
Reggiana
Kick Off
P. Rozzio

Own Goal

30′
F. Bardi

Own Goal

43′
Half Time
59′
T. ReinhartE. Kabashi
60′
A. SersantiN. Girma
62′Elvis Kabashi
G. DefrelPedro Mendes
64′
G. CasoK. Bozhanaj
64′
C. CauzS. Vulikić
72′
R. IdrissiM. Cotali
72′
A. PalumboI. Kamate
80′
86′
C. Gondo

assist: N. Girma

89′
L. IgnacchitiJ. Kumi
90′
M. PortanovaL. Štulac
Full Time

Match Statistics

Modena had 57% possession against Reggiana's 43%. Modena registered 8 shots (1 on target) while Reggiana managed 14 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 1–8. Fouls committed: 8–17.

1Shots on Goal5
1Shots off Goal1
8Total Shots14
6Blocked Shots8
5Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox7
8Fouls17
1Corner Kicks8
1Offsides2
57%Ball Possession43%
2Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
446Total passes331
380Passes accurate261
85%Passes %79%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Modena lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under P. Mandelli, while Reggiana deployed a 3-5-2 under D. Dionigi.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Modena is 6.67, compared to 6.99 for Reggiana. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Modena's highest-rated starter is S. Santoro (7.16), while Reggiana's best-rated player is F. Bardi (7.70).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Modena have contributed 5 goals and 11 assists this season, led by S. Santoro (2G). Reggiana's starters account for 13 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by M. Portanova (7G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Modena deploy 3 defenders rated 6.58 on average, against Reggiana's 3-man backline averaging 6.63. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Modena field 4 midfielders averaging 6.91, versus Reggiana's 5 rated 7.23. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Modena start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.41, compared to 2 for Reggiana averaging 6.76. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 80% for Modena and 79% for Reggiana. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Modena's starters have collected 20 yellow cards this season, compared to 26 for Reggiana. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Modena's starting XI is 27.6 (youngest: G. Beyuku (20), oldest: G. Defrel (34)), while Reggiana average 28.3 (youngest: L. Ignacchiti (21), oldest: F. Bardi (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Modena's starters average 20 league appearances each, versus 26 for Reggiana. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Modena3-4-2-13-5-2Reggiana
GKDEFMIDFWD
26Gagno6Magnino19Zaro33Cauz2Beyuku16Gerli8Santoro27Idrissi10Palumbo20Caso92Defrel22Bardi17Libutti4Rozzio44Lucchesi15Fiamozzi5Sersanti16Reinhart25Ignacch.7Marras11Gondo90Portano.

Substitutes

Coach: P. Mandelli

Substitutes

Coach: D. Dionigi

ModenaPosition StrengthReggiana
6.67
Avg Rating
6.99
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.70
0G 0A0G 0A
6.58Defender (3 v 3)6.63
0G 3A0G 0A
6.91Midfielder (4 v 5)7.23
3G 5A4G 4A
6.41Forward (3 v 2)6.76
2G 3A9G 1A
Modena3-4-2-1
26GoalkeeperR. Gagno
6DefenderL. Magnino6.63A
19DefenderG. Zaro
33DefenderC. Cauz6.5
2MidfielderG. Beyuku6.61G1A
16MidfielderF. Gerli7.0
8MidfielderS. Santoro7.22G4A
27MidfielderR. Idrissi
10ForwardA. Palumbo
20ForwardG. Caso6.2
92ForwardG. Defrel6.62G3A
Reggiana3-5-2
22GoalkeeperF. Bardi7.7
17DefenderL. Libutti6.5
4DefenderP. Rozzio6.7
44DefenderL. Lucchesi
15MidfielderR. Fiamozzi
5MidfielderA. Sersanti
16MidfielderT. Reinhart7.23G
25MidfielderL. Ignacchiti
7MidfielderM. Marras7.31G4A
11ForwardC. Gondo6.62G1A
90ForwardM. Portanova7.07G

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Modena have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Reggiana show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Modena

LDDLWW

Reggiana

LWLLDL

Modena vs Reggiana Head to Head Results

Modena and Reggiana have met 1 times — Modena won 0, Reggiana won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Reggiana leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 1 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (0 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–0 in 2025.

0

Modena

0

Drawn

1

Reggiana

Goals: 0Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

28 Oct 2025Reggiana1 – 0Modena
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026