Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.8
Average goals per game
25%
Games with 3+ goals
25%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 6.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.20 | 3.04 | 3.40 |
| Max | 2.28 | 3.10 | 3.53 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 41.7% | 31.3% | 27.0% |
| Public market | 42.4% | 30.1% | 27.5% |
| Δ | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Carrarese vs Modena — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Carrarese
Away Record: Modena
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Carrarese defeated Modena 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by N. Schiavi 42′ (pen.), E. Gliozzi 63′ (pen.), J. Illanes 88′. 5 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Carrarese had 36% possession while Modena held 64%. Carrarese had 7 shots (3 on target) compared to 17 (4 on target) for Modena. Carrarese made 5 substitutions, Modena made 5. VAR was involved: Card upgrade (Vincenzo Fiorillo 20′).
Match Events
Key match events between Carrarese and Modena — 3 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
Penalty
assist: M. Cicconi
Match Statistics
Carrarese had 36% possession against Modena's 64%. Carrarese registered 7 shots (3 on target) while Modena managed 17 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 0–6. Fouls committed: 20–16.
Lineups
Carrarese lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under A. Calabro, while Modena deployed a 3-4-2-1 under P. Mandelli.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Carrarese is 6.76, compared to 6.74 for Modena. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carrarese's highest-rated starter is N. Schiavi (7.20), while Modena's best-rated player is S. Santoro (7.16).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Carrarese have contributed 18 goals and 16 assists this season, led by N. Schiavi (6G). Modena's starters account for 13 goals and 11 assists, spearheaded by E. Gliozzi (11G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Carrarese deploy 3 defenders rated 6.93 on average, against Modena's 3-man backline averaging 6.63. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Carrarese field 4 midfielders averaging 7.04, versus Modena's 4 rated 6.98. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Carrarese start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.47, compared to 3 for Modena averaging 6.44. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 73% for Carrarese and 81% for Modena. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Carrarese's starters have collected 37 yellow cards this season, compared to 15 for Modena. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Carrarese's starting XI is 29.4 (youngest: S. Zanon (24), oldest: V. Fiorillo (35)), while Modena average 27.5 (youngest: K. Bozhanaj (24), oldest: E. Gliozzi (30)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Carrarese's starters average 25 league appearances each, versus 21 for Modena. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: A. Calabro
Substitutes
Coach: P. Mandelli
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Carrarese have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Modena show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Carrarese
Modena
Carrarese vs Modena Head to Head Results
Carrarese and Modena have met 2 times — Carrarese won 0, Modena won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Modena leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (0 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–0 in 2026.
0
Carrarese
1
Drawn
1
Modena
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 25 Apr 2026