Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.4
Average goals per game
29%
Games with 3+ goals
57%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.49 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Max | 2.50 | 3.12 | 3.05 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 38.2% | 30.5% | 31.2% |
| Public market | 37.5% | 30.2% | 32.3% |
| Δ | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% |
Cesena vs Palermo — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2525/26 | Cesena | 1–1 | Palermo | 2.77/3.01/2.71 |
| 04/05/2524/25 | Cesena | 2–1 | Palermo | 2.50/3.11/2.97 |
| 21/09/2424/25 | Palermo | 0–0 | Cesena | 2.16/3.22/3.45 |
| 21/12/1717/18 | Cesena | 1–1 | Palermo | 3.37/3.24/2.25 |
| 12/05/1817/18 | Palermo | 0–0 | Cesena | 1.54/4.01/6.29 |
| 13/09/1313/14 | Palermo | 2–1 | Cesena | 1.58/3.68/6.42 |
| 15/02/1413/14 | Cesena | 0–0 | Palermo | 3.20/2.97/2.43 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Cesena
Away Record: Palermo
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Cesena defeated Palermo 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by G. Calò 37′, Joel Pohjanpalo 45′, N. Pierozzi 45′, D. Šarić 46′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Cesena had 39% possession while Palermo held 61%. Cesena had 12 shots (5 on target) compared to 19 (6 on target) for Palermo. Cesena made 5 substitutions, Palermo made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Cesena and Palermo — 4 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: G. Prestia
Missed Penalty
assist: F. Ranocchia
assist: J. Ceesay
Match Statistics
Cesena had 39% possession against Palermo's 61%. Cesena registered 12 shots (5 on target) while Palermo managed 19 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 6–4. Fouls committed: 23–16.
Lineups
Cesena lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under M. Mignani, while Palermo deployed a 3-4-2-1 under A. Dionisi.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Cesena is 6.82, compared to 6.82 for Palermo. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Cesena's highest-rated starter is G. Calò (7.30), while Palermo's best-rated player is F. Ranocchia (7.31).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Cesena have contributed 17 goals and 13 assists this season, led by C. Shpendi (10G). Palermo's starters account for 41 goals and 16 assists, spearheaded by J. Pohjanpalo (23G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Cesena deploy 3 defenders rated 6.74 on average, against Palermo's 3-man backline averaging 6.67. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Cesena field 4 midfielders averaging 7.05, versus Palermo's 4 rated 6.97. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Cesena start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.74, compared to 3 for Palermo averaging 6.80. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 78% for Cesena and 73% for Palermo. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Cesena's starters have collected 22 yellow cards this season, compared to 22 for Palermo. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Cesena's starting XI is 25.9 (youngest: T. Berti (21), oldest: S. Bastoni (29)), while Palermo average 26.6 (youngest: N. Pierozzi (24), oldest: J. Pohjanpalo (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Cesena's starters average 22 league appearances each, versus 23 for Palermo. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: M. Mignani
Substitutes
Coach: A. Dionisi
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Cesena have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Cesena
Palermo
Cesena vs Palermo Head to Head Results
Cesena and Palermo have met 11 times — Cesena won 1, Palermo won 3, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Palermo leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.91 per match (9 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (36%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Palermo are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2012.
1
Cesena
7
Drawn
3
Palermo
Recent Meetings (11)
API data: 25 Apr 2026