4 May 2025 at 13:00

20
Full Time
Referee: A. Prontera

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Salernitana2wins
2draws6 meetings
Mantova2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Salernitana.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.7%Draw 35.2%Away 27.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.302.683.40
Max2.383.003.89
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Salernitana · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.0%35.5%24.5%
Public market40.9%31.4%27.7%
Δ0.9%4.1%3.2%

Salernitana vs Mantova — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Salernitana
Result vs. Market: Salernitana (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SalernitanaHalf-time:10Mantova
13Shots7
3Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
30/05/09Mantova1–1Salernitana8.57/1.24/8.07
04/05/25Salernitana2–0Mantova2.34/2.84/3.65
01/09/24Mantova1–0Salernitana2.50/3.23/2.87
17/01/09Salernitana2–1Mantova2.51/2.78/2.88
05/12/09Mantova1–1Salernitana1.81/3.14/4.64
01/05/10Salernitana1–3Mantova

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Salernitana

W 194D 192L 252
Over 2.544
Goals scored734

Away Record: Mantova

W 92D 101L 89
Over 2.540
Goals scored321

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Salernitana defeated Mantova 2:0. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by L. Amatucci 45′, S. Nwankwo 90′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Salernitana had 32% possession while Mantova held 68%. Salernitana had 13 shots (3 on target) compared to 7 (2 on target) for Mantova. Salernitana made 5 substitutions, Mantova made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Salernitana and Mantova — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Salernitana
Mantova
Kick Off
L. Amatucci

assist: T. Corazza

45+1′
Half Time
59′
A. FioriF. Paoletti
59′
D. MensahA. Debenedetti
69′
F. BrignaniS. De Maio
69′
D. BragantiniF. Galuppini
A. CerriS. Nwankwo
70′
F. ZucconA. Tello
70′
D. VerdeF. Tongya
77′
P. GhiglioneP. Stojanović
77′
77′
L. MancusoM. Aramu
R. SorianoJ. Reine-Adélaïde
85′
S. Nwankwo

assist: F. Ruggeri

90+4′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Salernitana had 32% possession against Mantova's 68%. Salernitana registered 13 shots (3 on target) while Mantova managed 7 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 0–0. Fouls committed: 20–16.

3Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots7
2Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox3
20Fouls16
0Corner Kicks0
2Offsides1
32%Ball Possession68%
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
293Total passes629
239Passes accurate572
82%Passes %91%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Salernitana lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under P. Marino, while Mantova deployed a 4-2-3-1 under D. Possanzini.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Salernitana is —, compared to 6.79 for Mantova. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Salernitana's highest-rated starter is —, while Mantova's best-rated player is D. Bragantini (7.13).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Salernitana have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Mantova's starters account for 21 goals and 11 assists, spearheaded by L. Mancuso (7G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Salernitana deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Mantova's 4-man backline averaging 6.70. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Salernitana field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Mantova's 5 rated 6.86. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Salernitana start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Mantova averaging 6.56. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Salernitana and 82% for Mantova. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Salernitana's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 41 for Mantova. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Salernitana's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Mantova average 26.6 (youngest: N. Radaelli (22), oldest: D. Mensah (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Salernitana's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 24 for Mantova. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Salernitana3-4-2-14-2-3-1Mantova
GKDEFMIDFWD
53Christe.13Ruggeri33Ferrari47Lochosh.29Ghiglio.98Zuccon73Amatucci16Corazza31Verde21Soriano90Cerri1Festa17Radaelli13Brignani29Cella6Bani21Trimboli8Burrai30Bragant.19Mancuso11Fiori7Mensah

Substitutes

Coach: P. Marino

Substitutes

Coach: D. Possanzini

SalernitanaPosition StrengthMantova
Avg Rating
6.79
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.01
0G 0A0G 0A
Defender (3 v 4)6.70
0G 0A2G 4A
Midfielder (4 v 5)6.86
0G 0A15G 6A
Forward (3 v 1)6.56
0G 0A4G 1A
Salernitana3-4-2-1
53GoalkeeperO. Christensen
13DefenderF. Ruggeri
33DefenderG. Ferrari
47DefenderL. Lochoshvili
29MidfielderP. Ghiglione
98MidfielderF. Zuccon
73MidfielderL. Amatucci
16MidfielderT. Corazza
31ForwardD. Verde
21ForwardR. Soriano
90ForwardA. Cerri
Mantova4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperM. Festa7.0
17DefenderN. Radaelli6.64A
13DefenderF. Brignani
29DefenderS. Cella6.82G
6DefenderC. Bani6.7
21MidfielderS. Trimboli7.05A
8MidfielderS. Burrai
30MidfielderD. Bragantini7.16G1A
19MidfielderL. Mancuso6.67G
11MidfielderA. Fiori6.82G
7ForwardD. Mensah6.64G1A

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Salernitana have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Mantova show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Salernitana

WWLLWW

Mantova

LWWLWD

Salernitana vs Mantova Head to Head Results

Salernitana and Mantova have met 1 times — Salernitana won 0, Mantova won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. Mantova leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 1 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (0 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–0 in 2024.

0

Salernitana

0

Drawn

1

Mantova

Goals: 0Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

1 Sept 2024Mantova1 – 0Salernitana
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026