4 May 2025 at 13:00

21
Full Time
Referee: P. Tremolada

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Sudtirol2wins
3draws6 meetings
Cosenza1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Cosenza.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.9%Draw 28.9%Away 20.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.783.404.75
Max1.803.514.84
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite:Sudtirol · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.3%27.0%19.6%
Public market52.4%27.7%19.9%

Sudtirol vs Cosenza — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Sudtirol
Result vs. Market: Sudtirol (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SudtirolHalf-time:11Cosenza
15Shots13
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
04/05/25Sudtirol2–1Cosenza1.79/3.46/4.79
06/10/24Cosenza0–2Sudtirol2.47/2.93/3.15
27/01/24Sudtirol0–1Cosenza2.58/2.99/2.97
16/09/23Cosenza2–2Sudtirol2.30/2.99/3.37
18/02/23Cosenza0–0Sudtirol2.89/2.89/2.80
17/09/22Sudtirol1–1Cosenza2.15/3.21/3.59

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Sudtirol

W 46D 53L 49
Over 2.543
Goals scored170

Away Record: Cosenza

W 126D 139L 189
Over 2.542
Goals scored460

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Sudtirol defeated Cosenza 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by S. Mazzocchi 18′, S. Molina 45′, S. Davì 68′. 10 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Sudtirol had 47% possession while Cosenza held 53%. Sudtirol had 15 shots (6 on target) compared to 12 (3 on target) for Cosenza. Sudtirol made 5 substitutions, Cosenza made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Niklas Pyyhtiä 38′).

Match Events

Key match events between Sudtirol and Cosenza — 3 goals and 11 cards recorded during the match.

Sudtirol
Cosenza
Kick Off
18′
S. Mazzocchi

assist: M. Zilli

Penalty cancelled38′
VAR
43′Aldo Florenzi
S. Molina

assist: S. Davì

45′
Half Time
M. RoverS. Merkaj
46′
59′Tommaso D'Orazio
60′Aldo Florenzi
60′Aldo Florenzi
64′
R. CiervoM. Ricciardi
64′
A. CaporaleC. Kouan
65′
M. ZilliG. Artistico
S. Davì

assist: F. Veseli

68′
70′
S. MazzocchiJ. Cruz
N. PyyhtiäL. Belardinelli
72′
D. CasiraghiF. Tait
72′
R. KoflerH. El Kaouakibi
84′
84′
M. GargiuloJ. Novello
R. OdogwuG. Gori
88′
Gabriele Gori90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Sudtirol had 47% possession against Cosenza's 53%. Sudtirol registered 15 shots (6 on target) while Cosenza managed 12 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 10–3. Fouls committed: 20–17.

6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal6
15Total Shots12
2Blocked Shots3
11Shots insidebox4
4Shots outsidebox8
20Fouls17
10Corner Kicks3
3Offsides0
47%Ball Possession53%
6Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
211Total passes256
128Passes accurate167
61%Passes %65%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Sudtirol lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under F. Castori, while Cosenza deployed a 3-4-2-1 under M. Alvini.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Sudtirol is 6.75, compared to — for Cosenza. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Sudtirol's highest-rated starter is S. Molina (7.18), while Cosenza's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Sudtirol have contributed 11 goals and 16 assists this season, led by D. Casiraghi (4G). Cosenza's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Sudtirol deploy 3 defenders rated 6.52 on average, against Cosenza's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Sudtirol field 5 midfielders averaging 6.93, versus Cosenza's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Sudtirol start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.61, compared to 3 for Cosenza averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 64% for Sudtirol and —% for Cosenza. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Sudtirol's starters have collected 29 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Cosenza. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Sudtirol's starting XI is 30.0 (youngest: R. Kofler (20), oldest: A. Masiello (39)), while Cosenza average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Sudtirol's starters average 25 league appearances each, versus 0 for Cosenza. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Sudtirol3-5-23-4-2-1Cosenza
GKDEFMIDFWD
31Adamonis34Veseli19Pietran.5Masiello79Molina18Pyyhtiä28Kofler17Casirag.24Davì90Odogwu7Rover1Micai29Sgarbi55Hristov17Caporale19Ciervo5Gargiulo34Florenzi11D'Orazio30Mazzocc.20Pinna21Zilli

Substitutes

Coach: F. Castori

Substitutes

Coach: M. Alvini

SudtirolPosition StrengthCosenza
6.75
Avg Rating
6.91Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.52Defender (3 v 3)
1G 1A0G 0A
6.93Midfielder (5 v 4)
7G 13A0G 0A
6.61Forward (2 v 3)
3G 2A0G 0A
Sudtirol3-5-2
31GoalkeeperM. Adamonis6.9
34DefenderF. Veseli6.51A
19DefenderN. Pietrangeli6.41G
5DefenderA. Masiello6.6
79MidfielderS. Molina7.24A
18MidfielderN. Pyyhtiä
28MidfielderR. Kofler6.83G
17MidfielderD. Casiraghi7.04G7A
24MidfielderS. Davì6.72A
90ForwardR. Odogwu6.63G2A
7ForwardM. Rover
Cosenza3-4-2-1
1GoalkeeperA. Micai
29DefenderF. Sgarbi
55DefenderA. Hristov
17DefenderA. Caporale
19MidfielderR. Ciervo
5MidfielderM. Gargiulo
34MidfielderA. Florenzi
11MidfielderT. D'Orazio
30ForwardS. Mazzocchi
20ForwardA. Rizzo Pinna
21ForwardM. Zilli

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Sudtirol have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Cosenza show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Sudtirol

LDDLLD

Cosenza

WLWDWL
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026