Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.7
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Brescia.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.25 | 2.82 | 3.50 |
| Max | 2.32 | 3.00 | 3.78 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 41.0% | 33.8% | 25.2% |
| Public market | 41.8% | 31.3% | 26.9% |
| Δ | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
Modena vs Brescia — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2524/25 | Modena | 2–2 | Brescia | 2.29/2.91/3.64 |
| 26/12/2424/25 | Brescia | 3–3 | Modena | 2.69/2.99/2.78 |
| 13/01/2423/24 | Modena | 1–2 | Brescia | 2.03/3.19/3.93 |
| 24/10/2323/24 | Brescia | 0–1 | Modena | 2.70/3.13/2.78 |
| 11/02/2322/23 | Brescia | 0–1 | Modena | 2.61/3.20/2.84 |
| 10/09/2222/23 | Modena | 1–3 | Brescia | 2.63/3.18/2.71 |
| 03/10/1515/16 | Brescia | 2–2 | Modena | 2.30/3.06/3.37 |
| 20/02/1615/16 | Modena | 1–0 | Brescia | 2.31/3.01/3.41 |
| 11/10/1414/15 | Modena | 1–1 | Brescia | 2.21/3.01/3.59 |
| 03/03/1514/15 | Brescia | 0–1 | Modena | 2.40/3.00/3.23 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Modena
Away Record: Brescia
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Modena and Brescia drew 2:2. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by C. Cauz 25′ (o.g.), G. Caso 28′, A. Di Pardo 67′, G. Calvani 89′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Modena had 48% possession while Brescia held 52%. Modena had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 15 (4 on target) for Brescia. Modena made 5 substitutions, Brescia made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Modena and Brescia — 4 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
Own Goal
assist: A. Di Pardo
assist: G. Zaro
Match Statistics
Modena had 48% possession against Brescia's 52%. Modena registered 12 shots (3 on target) while Brescia managed 15 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 2–1. Fouls committed: 17–10.
Lineups
Modena lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under P. Mandelli, while Brescia deployed a 4-3-1-2 under R. Maran.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Modena is 6.63, compared to — for Brescia. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Modena's highest-rated starter is F. Gerli (6.98), while Brescia's best-rated player is —.
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Modena have contributed 12 goals and 8 assists this season, led by E. Gliozzi (11G). Brescia's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Modena deploy 3 defenders rated 6.56 on average, against Brescia's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Modena field 4 midfielders averaging 6.80, versus Brescia's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Modena start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.44, compared to 2 for Brescia averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 78% for Modena and —% for Brescia. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Modena's starters have collected 16 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Brescia. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Modena's starting XI is 27.3 (youngest: G. Beyuku (20), oldest: E. Gliozzi (30)), while Brescia average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Modena's starters average 17 league appearances each, versus 0 for Brescia. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: P. Mandelli
Substitutes
Coach: R. Maran
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Modena have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Brescia show 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.
Modena
Brescia
API data: 25 Apr 2026