28 February 2026 at 14:00

12
Full Time
Referee: Andrea Calzavara
Stadium: Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena4wins
3draws10 meetings
Padova3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 8.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 67.1%Draw 25.0%Away 16.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.494.006.00
Max1.494.006.00
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Modena · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Padova
Result vs. Market: Modena (67%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:02Padova
12Shots6
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
28/02/26Modena1–2Padova1.49/4.00/6.00
11/01/26Padova2–0Modena4.33/3.10/1.91
28/09/13Modena3–1Padova2.07/3.15/3.88
08/03/14Padova2–2Modena2.41/2.92/3.22
30/10/12Modena0–0Padova2.42/3.05/3.16
23/03/13Padova0–1Modena2.11/3.16/3.67
29/01/11Padova1–1Modena1.79/3.19/4.69
24/09/11Padova2–0Modena1.57/3.61/6.15
06/03/12Modena2–1Padova2.96/2.97/2.44
05/09/10Modena1–0Padova2.30/2.88/3.27

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 225D 234L 230
Over 2.542
Goals scored819

Away Record: Padova

W 89D 107L 122
Over 2.546
Goals scored354

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Padova defeated Modena 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by K. Lasagna 8′, C. Faedo 14′, L. Zanimacchia 56′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Modena had 60% possession while Padova held 40%. Modena had 12 shots (5 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Padova. Expected goals: Modena 0.38 — Padova 0.56. Modena made 5 substitutions, Padova made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Modena and Padova — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Modena
Padova
Kick Off
5′
J. HarderL. Crisetig
8′
K. Lasagna

assist: F. Di Mariano

14′
C. Faedo

assist: C. Buonaiuto

G. BeyukuY. Massolin
28′
Half Time
G. AmbrosinoE. Gliozzi
53′
B. NielingM. Cotali
54′
L. Zanimacchia

assist: E. Gliozzi

56′
60′
C. BuonaiutoL. Di Maggio
68′
C. PastinaL. Villa
68′
K. LasagnaG. Caprari
68′
F. Di MarianoJ. Silva
F. ZampanoG. Defrel
73′
M. De LucaA. Imputato
73′
74′Mattia Fortin
Full Time

Match Statistics

Modena had 60% possession against Padova's 40%. Modena registered 12 shots (5 on target) while Padova managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 13–13.

5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal2
12Total Shots6
3Blocked Shots1
6Shots insidebox3
6Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls13
5Corner Kicks3
0Offsides1
60%Ball Possession40%
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
461Total passes318
382Passes accurate240
83%Passes %75%
0.38expected_goals0.56
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Modena have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Padova show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Modena

LDDLWW

Padova

WWLLLL

Modena vs Padova Head to Head Results

Modena and Padova have met 1 times — Modena won 0, Padova won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Padova leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (0 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–0 in 2026.

0

Modena

0

Drawn

1

Padova

Goals: 0Goals: 2

Recent Meetings (1)

11 Jan 2026Padova2 – 0Modena
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026