18 March 2026 at 19:00

20
Full Time

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carrarese2wins
1draws4 meetings
Sampdoria1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Carrarese.

Market Summary

Margin: 9.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.6%Draw 35.5%Away 31.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.352.823.20
Max2.352.823.20
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Carrarese
Result vs. Market: Carrarese (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarrareseHalf-time:00Sampdoria
7Shots8
3Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/03/26Carrarese2–0Sampdoria2.35/2.82/3.20
07/12/25Sampdoria3–2Carrarese2.01/3.20/3.80
25/04/25Carrarese1–0Sampdoria2.86/2.94/2.79
26/12/24Sampdoria1–1Carrarese1.91/3.36/4.18

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carrarese

W 21D 24L 27
Over 2.546
Goals scored83

Away Record: Sampdoria

W 113D 107L 84
Over 2.539
Goals scored378

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Carrarese defeated Sampdoria 2:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by L. Hasa 63′, M. Finotto 90′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Carrarese had 48% possession while Sampdoria held 52%. Carrarese had 7 shots (3 on target) compared to 7 (1 on target) for Sampdoria. Expected goals: Carrarese 2.02 — Sampdoria 0.55. Carrarese made 5 substitutions, Sampdoria made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Fabio Abiuso 7′).

Match Events

Key match events between Carrarese and Sampdoria — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Carrarese
Sampdoria
Kick Off
Goal cancelled7′
VAR
Half Time
57′
T. BegicN. Pierini
57′
E. SoleriM. Coda
E. TorregrossaT. Rubino
62′
N. BelloniJ. Rouhi
62′
L. Hasa

assist: S. Zanon

63′
65′
L. CherubiniS. Pafundi
77′
M. PalmaM. Brunori
77′
F. ContiA. Barak
F. AbiusoM. Finotto
80′
L. HasaF. Melegoni
80′
G. ParlantiD. Lordkipanidze
88′
M. Finotto

Penalty

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Carrarese had 48% possession against Sampdoria's 52%. Carrarese registered 7 shots (3 on target) while Sampdoria managed 7 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 4–2. Fouls committed: 16–18.

3Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal6
7Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots0
7Shots insidebox4
0Shots outsidebox3
16Fouls18
4Corner Kicks2
0Offsides1
48%Ball Possession52%
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
359Total passes389
285Passes accurate312
79%Passes %80%
2.02expected_goals0.55
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Carrarese lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under Antonio Calabro, while Sampdoria deployed a 3-4-2-1 under Angelo Gregucci.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carrarese is 6.87, compared to 6.90 for Sampdoria. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carrarese's highest-rated starter is L. Hasa (7.18), while Sampdoria's best-rated player is S. Esposito (7.27).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Carrarese have contributed 24 goals and 22 assists this season, led by F. Abiuso (11G). Sampdoria's starters account for 7 goals and 4 assists, spearheaded by T. Begic (3G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Carrarese deploy 3 defenders rated 6.84 on average, against Sampdoria's 3-man backline averaging 6.85. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carrarese field 5 midfielders averaging 6.90, versus Sampdoria's 4 rated 7.04. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carrarese start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.71, compared to 3 for Sampdoria averaging 6.79. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 77% for Carrarese and 77% for Sampdoria. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carrarese's starters have collected 44 yellow cards this season, compared to 19 for Sampdoria. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carrarese's starting XI is 25.5 (youngest: N. Calabrese (21), oldest: E. Torregrossa (33)), while Sampdoria average 24.0 (youngest: M. Palma (17), oldest: A. Ferrari (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carrarese's starters average 27 league appearances each, versus 14 for Sampdoria. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Carrarese3-5-23-4-2-1Sampdoria
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Bleve37Calabre.4Illanes3Imperia.72Zanon77Parlanti17Zuelli70Hasa7Belloni9Abiuso92Torregr.50Martine.13Palma25Ferrari2Viti29Pardo33Conti94Esposito7Cicconi11Begic10Cherubi.92Soleri

Substitutes

Coach: Antonio Calabro

Substitutes

Coach: Angelo Gregucci

CarraresePosition StrengthSampdoria
6.87
Avg Rating
6.90
7.11Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.95
0G 0A0G 0A
6.84Defender (3 v 3)6.85
3G 1A1G 1A
6.90Midfielder (5 v 4)7.04
9G 16A1G 2A
6.71Forward (2 v 3)6.79
12G 5A5G 1A
Carrarese3-5-2
1GoalkeeperM. Bleve7.1
37DefenderN. Calabrese6.81G1A
4DefenderJ. Illanes6.92G
3DefenderM. Imperiale6.8
72MidfielderS. Zanon7.13G6A
77MidfielderG. Parlanti6.6
17MidfielderE. Zuelli6.91G5A
70MidfielderL. Hasa7.25G4A
7MidfielderN. Belloni6.71A
9ForwardF. Abiuso6.911G5A
92ForwardE. Torregrossa6.51G
Sampdoria3-4-2-1
50GoalkeeperT. Martinelli7.0
13DefenderM. Palma6.91G
25DefenderA. Ferrari6.9
2DefenderM. Viti6.71A
29MidfielderA. Di Pardo6.91G1A
33MidfielderF. Conti
94MidfielderS. Esposito7.3
7MidfielderM. Cicconi6.91A
11ForwardT. Begic7.03G
10ForwardL. Cherubini6.92G1A
92ForwardE. Soleri6.5

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Carrarese have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Sampdoria show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Carrarese

DLWWWD

Sampdoria

LWWWLD

Carrarese vs Sampdoria Head to Head Results

Carrarese and Sampdoria have met 1 times — Carrarese won 0, Sampdoria won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Sampdoria leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 5.00 per match (2 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.

0

Carrarese

0

Drawn

1

Sampdoria

Goals: 2Goals: 3

Recent Meetings (1)

7 Dec 2025Sampdoria3 – 2Carrarese
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 23 Mar 2026