Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Mantova.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.82 |
| Max | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.82 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/0707/08 | Mantova | 4–1 | Cesena | 1.44/3.51/7.93 |
| 29/03/0807/08 | Cesena | 1–1 | Mantova | 2.00/2.89/3.90 |
| 17/03/2625/26 | Mantova | 3–0 | Cesena | 2.35/3.40/2.82 |
| 13/12/2525/26 | Cesena | 3–2 | Mantova | 1.71/3.50/4.75 |
| 25/03/0706/07 | Cesena | 1–1 | Mantova | 2.39/2.61/3.18 |
| 01/05/2524/25 | Mantova | 3–0 | Cesena | 2.48/3.29/2.85 |
| 29/09/2424/25 | Cesena | 4–2 | Mantova | 1.75/3.59/4.66 |
| 15/11/0909/10 | Mantova | 0–1 | Cesena | 2.43/2.81/3.01 |
| 13/04/1009/10 | Cesena | 3–1 | Mantova | 1.71/3.20/4.97 |
| 04/11/0606/07 | Mantova | 4–3 | Cesena | 2.17/2.70/3.54 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Mantova
Away Record: Cesena
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Mantova defeated Cesena 3:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by G. Zaro 6′ (o.g.), A. Meroni 57′, L. Mancuso 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Mantova had 48% possession while Cesena held 52%. Mantova had 20 shots (4 on target) compared to 13 (3 on target) for Cesena. Expected goals: Mantova 1.68 — Cesena 0.75. Mantova made 5 substitutions, Cesena made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Mantova and Cesena — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
Own Goal
assist: A. Castellini
assist: C. Falletti
Match Statistics
Mantova had 48% possession against Cesena's 52%. Mantova registered 20 shots (4 on target) while Cesena managed 13 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 19–16.
Lineups
Mantova lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under Francesco Modesto, while Cesena deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Ashley Cole.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Mantova is 6.86, compared to 6.77 for Cesena. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Mantova's highest-rated starter is A. Meroni (7.10), while Cesena's best-rated player is G. Zaro (7.03).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Mantova have contributed 15 goals and 11 assists this season, led by T. Marras (6G). Cesena's starters account for 24 goals and 17 assists, spearheaded by C. Shpendi (10G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Mantova deploy 3 defenders rated 6.96 on average, against Cesena's 3-man backline averaging 6.83. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Mantova field 4 midfielders averaging 6.92, versus Cesena's 6 rated 6.80. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Mantova start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.70, compared to 1 for Cesena averaging 6.51. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 80% for Mantova and 83% for Cesena. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Mantova's starters have collected 38 yellow cards this season, compared to 30 for Cesena. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Mantova's starting XI is 25.2 (youngest: A. Dembele (21), oldest: D. Mensah (34)), while Cesena average 24.4 (youngest: M. Francesconi (21), oldest: G. Zaro (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Mantova's starters average 20 league appearances each, versus 25 for Cesena. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Francesco Modesto
Substitutes
Coach: Ashley Cole
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Mantova have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Cesena show 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Mantova
Cesena
Mantova vs Cesena Head to Head Results
Mantova and Cesena have met 2 times — Mantova won 0, Cesena won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Cesena leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (3 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.
0
Mantova
0
Drawn
2
Cesena
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 23 Mar 2026