18 March 2026 at 18:00

21
Full Time
Referee: Fabio Maresca

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Frosinone5wins
1draws10 meetings
Bari4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (65%) — the odds may underestimate Frosinone.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 70.4%Draw 23.8%Away 14.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.424.207.00
Max1.424.207.00
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.6%
Market favourite:Frosinone · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Frosinone
Result vs. Market: Frosinone (70%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FrosinoneHalf-time:11Bari
27Shots6
10Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/03/26Frosinone2–1Bari1.42/4.20/7.00
22/11/25Bari2–3Frosinone2.70/3.20/2.55
02/02/25Bari2–1Frosinone2.04/3.12/4.04
22/09/24Frosinone0–3Bari2.34/3.29/3.00
11/03/23Bari0–0Frosinone3.04/3.13/2.50
22/10/22Frosinone1–0Bari1.93/3.37/4.16
16/09/17Frosinone3–2Bari2.07/3.17/3.93
10/02/18Bari1–0Frosinone2.85/3.11/2.60
16/10/16Frosinone3–1Bari2.26/3.06/3.52
11/03/17Bari1–0Frosinone2.15/3.11/3.69

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Frosinone

W 216D 173L 171
Over 2.547
Goals scored737

Away Record: Bari

W 264D 265L 245
Over 2.541
Goals scored894

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Frosinone defeated Bari 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by E. Rao 2′, S. Fini 8′, N. Corrado 53′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Frosinone had 61% possession while Bari held 39%. Frosinone had 27 shots (10 on target) compared to 5 (3 on target) for Bari. Expected goals: Frosinone 2.24 — Bari 0.62. Frosinone made 5 substitutions, Bari made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Frosinone and Bari — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Frosinone
Bari
Kick Off
2′
E. Rao

assist: G. Moncini

S. Fini

assist: A. Oyono

8′
Half Time
N. Corrado

assist: S. Fini

53′
57′
E. RaoG. De Pieri
J. GelliI. Monterisi
64′
A. FioriG. Kvernadze
64′
72′
G. MaggioreN. Bellomo
72′
M. DorvalD. Traore
F. GelliI. Koutsoupias
76′
83′
T. EstevesC. Gytkjaer
83′
M. ManeG. Stabile
A. RaimondoE. Vergani
84′
N. CorradoG. Bracaglia
84′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Frosinone had 61% possession against Bari's 39%. Frosinone registered 27 shots (10 on target) while Bari managed 5 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 11–1. Fouls committed: 15–5.

10Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal2
27Total Shots5
5Blocked Shots1
19Shots insidebox4
8Shots outsidebox1
15Fouls5
11Corner Kicks1
3Offsides0
61%Ball Possession39%
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves8
464Total passes315
411Passes accurate226
89%Passes %72%
2.24expected_goals0.62
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Frosinone lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under Massimiliano Alvini, while Bari deployed a 3-4-2-1 under Moreno Longo.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Frosinone is 6.99, compared to 6.82 for Bari. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Frosinone's highest-rated starter is G. Calo (7.63), while Bari's best-rated player is M. Cerofolini (7.16).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Frosinone have contributed 30 goals and 24 assists this season, led by A. Raimondo (10G). Bari's starters account for 13 goals and 12 assists, spearheaded by G. Moncini (9G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Frosinone deploy 4 defenders rated 6.95 on average, against Bari's 3-man backline averaging 6.84. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Frosinone field 3 midfielders averaging 7.04, versus Bari's 5 rated 6.83. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Frosinone start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.88, compared to 2 for Bari averaging 6.59. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 77% for Frosinone and 78% for Bari. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Frosinone's starters have collected 39 yellow cards this season, compared to 26 for Bari. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Frosinone's starting XI is 23.1 (youngest: S. Fini (19), oldest: F. Gelli (29)), while Bari average 26.6 (youngest: M. Braunoder (23), oldest: R. Pucino (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Frosinone's starters average 24 league appearances each, versus 24 for Bari. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Frosinone4-3-33-4-2-1Bari
GKDEFMIDFWD
22Palmisa.20Oyono6Gelli3Calvani19Corrado10Gelli14Calo16Cichella40Fini9Raimondo80Fiori31Cerofol.25Pucino26Odenthal51Cistana30Mane18Maggiore27Braunod.93Dorval19Esteves17Rao11Moncini

Substitutes

Coach: Massimiliano Alvini

Substitutes

Coach: Moreno Longo

FrosinonePosition StrengthBari
6.99
Avg Rating
6.82
7.33Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.16
0G 0A0G 0A
6.95Defender (4 v 3)6.84
5G 5A1G 1A
7.04Midfielder (3 v 5)6.83
11G 17A3G 8A
6.88Forward (3 v 2)6.59
14G 2A9G 3A
Frosinone4-3-3
22GoalkeeperL. Palmisani7.3
20DefenderA. Oyono6.91G4A
6DefenderJ. Gelli7.0
3DefenderG. Calvani7.01G1A
19DefenderN. Corrado7.03G
10MidfielderF. Gelli6.81G1A
14MidfielderG. Calo7.68G12A
16MidfielderM. Cichella6.72G4A
40ForwardS. Fini7.01G1A
9ForwardA. Raimondo6.710G1A
80ForwardA. Fiori7.03G
Bari3-4-2-1
31GoalkeeperM. Cerofolini7.2
25DefenderR. Pucino6.8
26DefenderC. Odenthal6.91G
51DefenderA. Cistana6.81A
30MidfielderM. Mane
18MidfielderG. Maggiore6.72G1A
27MidfielderM. Braunoder6.81A
93MidfielderM. Dorval7.01G6A
17MidfielderE. Rao
19ForwardT. Esteves6.61A
11ForwardG. Moncini6.69G2A

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Frosinone have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Bari show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Frosinone

WDWWWD

Bari

LLWLLW

Frosinone vs Bari Head to Head Results

Frosinone and Bari have met 11 times — Frosinone won 5, Bari won 5, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.82 per match (15 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (55%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2024.

5

Frosinone

1

Drawn

5

Bari

Goals: 15Goals: 16

Recent Meetings (11)

22 Nov 2025Bari2 – 3Frosinone
2 Feb 2025Bari2 – 1Frosinone
22 Sept 2024Frosinone0 – 3Bari
24 Jul 2024Frosinone3 – 4Bari
11 Mar 2023Bari0 – 0Frosinone
22 Oct 2022Frosinone1 – 0Bari
23 Jul 2022Frosinone1 – 0Bari
10 Feb 2018Bari1 – 0Frosinone
16 Sept 2017Frosinone3 – 2Bari
11 Mar 2017Bari1 – 0Frosinone
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 23 Mar 2026