18 March 2026 at 19:00

32
Full Time
Referee: Simone Galipo

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Avellino dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Avellino2wins
0draws2 meetings
Sudtirol0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Avellino.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.5%Draw 35.5%Away 37.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.822.822.70
Max2.822.822.70
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Avellino
Result vs. Market: Sudtirol (37%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AvellinoHalf-time:10Sudtirol
8Shots10
3Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/03/26Avellino3–2Sudtirol2.82/2.82/2.70
29/11/25Sudtirol0–1Avellino1.96/3.20/4.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Avellino

W 113D 129L 174
Over 2.544
Goals scored445

Away Record: Sudtirol

W 46D 53L 49
Over 2.543
Goals scored170

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Avellino defeated Sudtirol 3:2. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by C. Patierno 24′, D. Casiraghi 52′ (pen.), M. Besaggio 72′, E. Pecorino 75′, A. Izzo 80′. 11 yellow cards were shown. Avellino had 57% possession while Sudtirol held 43%. Avellino had 8 shots (3 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Sudtirol. Expected goals: Avellino 2.06 — Sudtirol 1.39. Avellino made 4 substitutions, Sudtirol made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Daniele Casiraghi 50′).

Match Events

Key match events between Avellino and Sudtirol — 5 goals and 11 cards recorded during the match.

Avellino
Sudtirol
Kick Off
C. Patierno

assist: T. Biasci

24′
Half Time
46′
R. ToninE. Pecorino
46′
F. BordonD. Casiraghi
VAR
50′Penalty confirmed
52′
71′
D. CrnigojJ. Martini
M. Besaggio

assist: C. Patierno

72′
73′
A. MasielloD. Mancini
75′
E. Pecorino

assist: D. Casiraghi

C. PatiernoR. Russo
77′
A. Izzo

assist: L. Simic

80′
M. PalumboA. Le Borgne
82′
T. BiasciG. Tutino
82′
84′
M. R. FrigerioS. Verdi
M. BesaggioM. Armellino
90+3′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Avellino had 57% possession against Sudtirol's 43%. Avellino registered 8 shots (3 on target) while Sudtirol managed 10 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 2–2. Fouls committed: 14–28.

3Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal5
8Total Shots10
2Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox6
1Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls28
2Corner Kicks2
2Offsides0
57%Ball Possession43%
5Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves0
370Total passes268
267Passes accurate166
72%Passes %62%
2.06expected_goals1.39
-1goals_prevented-1

Lineups

Avellino lined up in a 4-3-1-2 formation under Davide Ballardini, while Sudtirol deployed a 3-5-2 under Fabrizio Castori.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Avellino is 6.89, compared to 6.63 for Sudtirol. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Avellino's highest-rated starter is G. Daffara (7.20), while Sudtirol's best-rated player is H. El Kaouakibi (7.00).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Avellino have contributed 24 goals and 17 assists this season, led by T. Biasci (12G). Sudtirol's starters account for 11 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by S. Merkaj (9G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Avellino deploy 4 defenders rated 6.92 on average, against Sudtirol's 2-man backline averaging 6.56. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Avellino field 4 midfielders averaging 6.90, versus Sudtirol's 6 rated 6.71. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Avellino start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.63, compared to 2 for Sudtirol averaging 6.36. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 80% for Avellino and 65% for Sudtirol. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Avellino's starters have collected 56 yellow cards this season, compared to 33 for Sudtirol. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Avellino's starting XI is 28.1 (youngest: G. Daffara (21), oldest: C. Patierno (34)), while Sudtirol average 27.9 (youngest: S. Tronchin (23), oldest: A. Masiello (39)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Avellino's starters average 27 league appearances each, versus 23 for Sudtirol. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Avellino4-3-1-23-5-2Sudtirol
GKDEFMIDFWD
30Daffara29Cancell.44Simic4Izzo63Fontana.24Sounas6Palmiero39Besaggio20Palumbo9Patierno14Biasci31Adamonis34Veseli3Bordon5Masiello94Kaouaki.18Tronchin89Crnigoj26Frigerio23Davi33Merkaj11Tonin

Substitutes

Coach: Davide Ballardini

Substitutes

Coach: Fabrizio Castori

AvellinoPosition StrengthSudtirol
6.89
Avg Rating
6.63
7.20Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.91
0G 0A0G 0A
6.92Defender (4 v 2)6.56
5G 4A0G 1A
6.90Midfielder (4 v 6)6.71
6G 9A2G 3A
6.63Forward (2 v 2)6.36
13G 4A9G 1A
Avellino4-3-1-2
30GoalkeeperG. Daffara7.2
29DefenderT. Cancellotti6.81G1A
44DefenderL. Simic7.03G1A
4DefenderA. Izzo7.01G2A
63DefenderA. Fontanarosa6.9
24MidfielderD. Sounas7.01G4A
6MidfielderL. Palmiero7.01A
39MidfielderM. Besaggio6.92G1A
20MidfielderM. Palumbo6.83G3A
9ForwardC. Patierno6.51G1A
14ForwardT. Biasci6.812G3A
Sudtirol3-5-2
31GoalkeeperM. Adamonis6.9
34DefenderF. Veseli6.51A
5DefenderA. Masiello6.6
3MidfielderF. Bordon
94MidfielderH. El Kaouakibi7.01G2A
18MidfielderS. Tronchin6.71G
89MidfielderD. Crnigoj6.7
26MidfielderM. R. Frigerio6.61A
23MidfielderF. Davi6.6
33ForwardS. Merkaj6.39G1A
11ForwardR. Tonin6.4

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Avellino have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Sudtirol show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Avellino

WDLLWW

Sudtirol

LDDLLD

Avellino vs Sudtirol Head to Head Results

Avellino and Sudtirol have met 3 times — Avellino won 2, Sudtirol won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Avellino leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.33 per match (3 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–0 in 2021.

2

Avellino

0

Drawn

1

Sudtirol

Goals: 3Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (3)

29 Nov 2025Sudtirol0 – 1Avellino
2 Jun 2021Sudtirol1 – 0Avellino
30 May 2021Avellino2 – 0Sudtirol
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 23 Mar 2026