Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Palermo dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2
Average goals per game
33%
Games with 3+ goals
33%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (20%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.71 |
| Max | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.71 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Padova
Away Record: Palermo
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Palermo defeated Padova 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by M. Bani 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Padova had 66% possession while Palermo held 34%. Padova had 14 shots (2 on target) compared to 11 (1 on target) for Palermo. Expected goals: Padova 1.58 — Palermo 1.28. Padova made 4 substitutions, Palermo made 5. VAR was involved: Card upgrade (Rui Modesto 24′).
Match Events
Key match events between Padova and Palermo — 1 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: P. Peda
Match Statistics
Padova had 66% possession against Palermo's 34%. Padova registered 14 shots (2 on target) while Palermo managed 11 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 9–4. Fouls committed: 10–12.
Lineups
Padova lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under Matteo Andreoletti, while Palermo deployed a 3-4-2-1 under Filippo Inzaghi.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Padova is 6.74, compared to 7.00 for Palermo. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Padova's highest-rated starter is M. Perrotta (7.30), while Palermo's best-rated player is F. Ranocchia (7.31).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Padova have contributed 3 goals and 0 assists this season, led by K. Lasagna (3G). Palermo's starters account for 47 goals and 31 assists, spearheaded by J. Pohjanpalo (23G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Padova deploy 3 defenders rated 7.30 on average, against Palermo's 3-man backline averaging 6.92. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Padova field 5 midfielders averaging 6.75, versus Palermo's 4 rated 7.12. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Padova start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.46, compared to 3 for Palermo averaging 6.84. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 60% for Padova and 76% for Palermo. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Padova's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 42 for Palermo. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Padova's starting XI is 29.2 (youngest: C. Pastina (24), oldest: K. Lasagna (33)), while Palermo average 28.5 (youngest: N. Pierozzi (24), oldest: J. Joronen (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Padova's starters average 2 league appearances each, versus 28 for Palermo. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Matteo Andreoletti
Substitutes
Coach: Filippo Inzaghi
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Padova have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Padova
Palermo
Padova vs Palermo Head to Head Results
Padova and Palermo have met 1 times — Padova won 0, Palermo won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Palermo leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 1 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (0 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–0 in 2025.
0
Padova
0
Drawn
1
Palermo
Recent Meetings (1)
API data: 23 Mar 2026