Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
38%
Games with 3+ goals
63%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Mantova.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Max | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2625/26 | Spezia | 0–2 | Mantova | 2.30/3.25/3.10 |
| 23/11/2525/26 | Mantova | 4–1 | Spezia | 2.65/3.20/2.65 |
| 13/04/2524/25 | Mantova | 2–2 | Spezia | 3.97/3.65/1.86 |
| 26/12/2424/25 | Spezia | 1–1 | Mantova | 1.57/3.97/5.71 |
| 22/12/0707/08 | Mantova | 3–1 | Spezia | 1.56/3.24/6.11 |
| 17/05/0807/08 | Spezia | 0–1 | Mantova | 1.94/3.13/3.61 |
| 14/10/0606/07 | Spezia | 1–1 | Mantova | 2.60/2.63/2.83 |
| 13/03/0706/07 | Mantova | 0–0 | Spezia | 1.58/3.13/6.80 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Spezia
Away Record: Mantova
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Mantova defeated Spezia 2:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by D. Bragantini 32′, N. Buso 72′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Spezia had 44% possession while Mantova held 56%. Spezia had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 13 (5 on target) for Mantova. Expected goals: Spezia 2.41 — Mantova 1.00. Spezia made 5 substitutions, Mantova made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Spezia and Mantova — 2 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: T. Maggioni
assist: S. Trimboli
Match Statistics
Spezia had 44% possession against Mantova's 56%. Spezia registered 12 shots (3 on target) while Mantova managed 13 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 6–0. Fouls committed: 21–12.
Lineups
Spezia lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under Luca D'Angelo, while Mantova deployed a 3-4-2-1 under Francesco Modesto.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Spezia is 6.79, compared to 6.86 for Mantova. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Spezia's highest-rated starter is D. Mascardi (7.05), while Mantova's best-rated player is D. Bragantini (7.13).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Spezia have contributed 23 goals and 10 assists this season, led by G. Artistico (11G). Mantova's starters account for 19 goals and 12 assists, spearheaded by F. Ruocco (7G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Spezia deploy 4 defenders rated 6.76 on average, against Mantova's 3-man backline averaging 6.86. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Spezia field 4 midfielders averaging 6.80, versus Mantova's 4 rated 6.89. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Spezia start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.72, compared to 3 for Mantova averaging 6.82. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 75% for Spezia and 81% for Mantova. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Spezia's starters have collected 38 yellow cards this season, compared to 40 for Mantova. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Spezia's starting XI is 24.0 (youngest: C. Comotto (17), oldest: F. Bandinelli (30)), while Mantova average 24.8 (youngest: A. Dembele (21), oldest: D. Mensah (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Spezia's starters average 22 league appearances each, versus 22 for Mantova. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Luca D'Angelo
Substitutes
Coach: Francesco Modesto
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Spezia have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Mantova show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Spezia
Mantova
Spezia vs Mantova Head to Head Results
Spezia and Mantova have met 3 times — Spezia won 0, Mantova won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. Mantova leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 11 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.67 per match (4 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Mantova are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2025.
0
Spezia
2
Drawn
1
Mantova
Recent Meetings (3)
API data: 25 Apr 2026